I am really surprised by this but probably shouldn’t be.  You would think there would be a few common opponents that occurred during the playoffs.

Looking at this you could think Vero Beach, Jones and Raines might be in trouble.  The Cannon Index has Lakeland, Cardinal Newman and probably Raines to have the toughest tests.  I’ve been watching Raines footage lately.  They seem to be very focused and confident.  

The biggest factor that makes the State Semifinals and the State Championships so difficult to predict is the lack of schedule connectivity which the computer relies on very heavily. In fact, taking a look at all the finals matchups, here's a list of common opponents: Lake Mary vs Vero Beach - No Common Opponents West Boca vs West Broward - 1 Common Opponent (Western) West Boca won by 35, West Broward won by 28 Lakeland vs St Thomas Aquinas - No Common Opponents American Heritage vs Jones - No Common Opponents Miami Northwestern vs Raines - No Common Opponents Cardinal Mooney vs Bolles - No Common Opponents Chaminade vs Cardinal Newman - No Common Opponents   In the case of State Championships games, the schedule chains between opponents may be 2, 3 or more links away. It can be quite difficult to predict.    

A lot of SSAA teams that are not leaving are in some districts. Merritt Island Christian and Calvary Chapel play 8-man. Expect a lot of changes from this original list.

I think he is picking who he thinks will win, not who he wants to win.