The following info is based completely on the slope derived from Moving Averages from 1999-2025. It does not consider: Returning Starters, Player Transfers, Coaching Changes, injuries, FHSAA Sanctions, etc.  **Note** As a guide, the Class 3A team average power ranking is 118.7 and the average deviation is 14.2. STRENGTH 3A REG 1 DIST 3 136.03 Raines 158.90 Bishop Kenny 138.22 Terry Parker  110.96     3A REG 4 DIST 15 131.35 Cardinal Gibbons 141.99 Dillard 140.75 Stranahan 111.32     3A REG 2 DIST 8 128.26 Eau Gallie 144.05 Merritt Island  137.42 Titusville 130.49 Rockledge  130.26 Astronaut 117.87 Palm Bay 109.45     3A REG 4 DIST 14 127.14 Glades Central 136.76 Boynton Beach 117.52     3A REG 1 DIST 2 126.91 Godby 130.67 Wakulla 128.55 Baker County 127.23 Suwannee 121.19     3A REG 1 DIST 1 125.76 Bay 131.97 Pine Forest  130.20 West Florida 128.06 South Walton 124.83 Pensacola 113.72     3A REG 2 DIST 6 125.20 South Sumter 135.25 The Villages 133.64 Tavares 128.64 Eustis  103.27     3A REG 4 DIST 13 123.83 Bishop Verot 139.96 Lely 133.59 Cypress Lake 123.89 Island Coast 97.86     3A REG 4 DIST 16 123.69 Miami Central 151.48 North Miami Beach  130.05 Key West 129.01 St. Brendan 115.66 Miami Springs 109.82 Miami Jackson 106.09     3A REG 2 DIST 5 123.10 Eastside 133.99 Dunnellon 129.72 Santa Fe 119.05 North Marion 117.91 Belleview 114.82     3A REG 3 DIST 12 122.92 Cardinal Mooney 156.60 Booker 148.38 Southeast 119.09 Bayshore 116.08 Braden River 109.06 Wellen Park 88.33     3A REG 1 DIST 4 111.95 Menendez 121.63 Palatka 121.57 Wolfson 105.34 Westside 99.27     3A REG 3 DIST 9 106.73 Nature Coast Tech 126.89 Hernando 112.76 Crystal River 107.12 Weeki Wachee 106.69 Central (Brooksville)  99.27 Citrus 87.65     3A REG 3 DIST 10 104.97 Jefferson 128.99 Chamberlain 114.57 Robinson 102.81 King 90.17 Morgan  88.33     3A REG 3 DIST 11 103.76 Gibbs 119.64 Tarpon Springs 115.97 Countryside 106.66 Dunedin 104.79 Seminole (Seminole) 88.71 Anclote 86.80     3A REG 2 DIST 7 94.83 Mulberry 107.78 Tenoroc  99.97 Liberty 91.92 Discovery 79.62 PARITY 3A REG 1 DIST 2 2.86 Godby 130.67 Wakulla 128.55 Baker County 127.23 Suwannee 121.19     3A REG 1 DIST 1 5.18 Bay 131.97 Pine Forest  130.20 West Florida 128.06 South Walton 124.83 Pensacola 113.72     3A REG 2 DIST 5 7.01 Eastside 133.99 Dunnellon 129.72 Santa Fe 119.05 North Marion 117.91 Belleview 114.82     3A REG 3 DIST 9 8.86 Nature Coast Tech 126.89 Hernando 112.76 Crystal River 107.12 Weeki Wachee 106.69 Central (Brooksville)  99.27 Citrus 87.65     3A REG 2 DIST 7 9.05 Mulberry 107.78 Tenoroc  99.97 Liberty 91.92 Discovery 79.62     3A REG 4 DIST 14 9.62 Glades Central 136.76 Boynton Beach 117.52     3A REG 1 DIST 4 9.65 Menendez 121.63 Palatka 121.57 Wolfson 105.34 Westside 99.27     3A REG 2 DIST 8 9.73 Eau Gallie 144.05 Merritt Island  137.42 Titusville 130.49 Rockledge  130.26 Astronaut 117.87 Palm Bay 109.45     3A REG 3 DIST 11 10.67 Gibbs 119.64 Tarpon Springs 115.97 Countryside 106.66 Dunedin 104.79 Seminole (Seminole) 88.71 Anclote 86.80     3A REG 2 DIST 6 10.97 South Sumter 135.25 The Villages 133.64 Tavares 128.64 Eustis  103.27     3A REG 4 DIST 13 12.98 Bishop Verot 139.96 Lely 133.59 Cypress Lake 123.89 Island Coast 97.86     3A REG 4 DIST 16 13.16 Miami Central 151.48 North Miami Beach  130.05 Key West 129.01 St. Brendan 115.66 Miami Springs 109.82 Miami Jackson 106.09     3A REG 4 DIST 15 13.36 Cardinal Gibbons 141.99 Dillard 140.75 Stranahan 111.32     3A REG 3 DIST 10 13.44 Jefferson 128.99 Chamberlain 114.57 Robinson 102.81 King 90.17 Morgan  88.33     3A REG 1 DIST 3 16.71 Raines 158.90 Bishop Kenny 138.22 Terry Parker  110.96     3A REG 3 DIST 12 19.71 Cardinal Mooney 156.60 Booker 148.38 Southeast 119.09 Bayshore 116.08 Braden River 109.06 Wellen Park 88.33 By taking all of this in consideration "mathematically", we can project the following chances of winning the district for each team: CLASS 3A DISTRICT 1       Bay  25% Pine Forest 23% West Florida 22% South Walton  19% Pensacola 12%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 2       Godby 29% Wakulla 27% Baker County  26% Suwannee  19%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 3       Raines  86% Bishop Kenny 14% Terry Parker  0%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 4       Menendez  36% Palatka 35% Wolfson  19% Westside 9%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 5       Eastside  30% Dunnellon 26% Santa Fe 16% North Marion 15% Belleview 13%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 6       South Sumter  36% The Villages 34% Tavares 28% Eustis  2%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 7       Mulberry 46% Tenoroc 28% Liberty  20% Discovery  5%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 8       Eau Gallie  36% Merritt Island  24% Titusville 17% Rockledge  17% Astronaut  5% Palm Bay  1%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 9       Nature Coast Tech 46% Hernando 19% Crystal River 15% Weeki Wachee 15% Central (Brooksville)  5% Citrus  0%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 10       Jefferson  65% Chamberlain 27% Robinson 8% King  0% Morgan 0%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 11       Gibbs 33% Tarpon Springs 28% Countryside 18% Dunedin 17% Seminole (Seminole) 2% Anclote 1%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 12       Cardinal Mooney 62% Booker 38% Southeast  0% Bayshore 0% Braden River 0% Wellen Park  0%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 13       Bishop Verot 44% Lely 35% Cypress Lake 21% Island Coast  0%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 14       Glades Central 76% Boynton Beach 24%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 15       Cardinal Gibbons 49% Dillard 47% Stranahan  4%     CLASS 3A DISTRICT 16       Miami Central 76% North Miami Beach  12% Key West 11% St. Brendan  1% Miami Springs 0% Miami Jackson 0%  

A local coach showed me a FL bill that he said will likely get approved this summer where non-traditional students will have to play for the school they are zoned for.  A *lot* of the stronger teams in the state have a ton of these kids that are non-traditional, meaning they are "home-schooled" or taking bullshit online classes but are doing so only for an athletic advantage.  Rise Preparatory Academy is a clearing house for hundreds of these kids all over south FL, where in exchange finding high-caliber athletes exposure and access to college recruiters, the school profits by receiving state school vouchers.  It's very profitable and a total abuse of the state voucher program, honestly. If this law passes as expected, schools like Venice and Lakeland will probably be severely impacted.  I am not sure how or if this will apply to private schools that have no zone, though?

As far as district 6A 16 columbus is another school who has received over 40 transfers so far this off season, they hired coach cube, miami central former head coach who led the rockets to their last state title in 2022, and he also brought in his own assistants from that years central team. Columbus is one of the hottest teams talked about this off season in south florida and would be the heavy favs to win that district, unless that team just falls apart. 

I know I read up top that these numbers dont reflect coaching changes and or transfers.  So just a little south florida update. District 15 and 16 can look alot diffrent then the current prediction percentages.  In district 15 west broward after receiving over 35 transfers last season, that seen them go from door mat to a state title appearance for the 1st time in school history, has seen a mass exodus from the same transfers they got just last year. Including their best WR 5* Sears whose now at columbus. Their running back coach who had them as the #2 rushing team in broward is now at dillard. But in the same district cypress bay who has been one of the bottom feeders for the last 2 decades, have received over 25 high caliber transfers so far and a complete coaching staff over haul. Plantation high school head coach of last year has took the HC job, bringing alone all of his assistants from plantation. So as of right now cypress bay should be the heavy fans to come out of district 15 6A.

No idea yet. I'll have to see what all I have going on besides a cardiologist visit next week before I book an appointment. I'd guess that these guys and do just about any type of cut. It's a cool place. https://www.legitcutsbarbershop.com/