Week 4 Results     197 - 56  .779 Season Totals        756  - 238  .761 This week proves most interesting with many close games on the slate. There are 72 games where the underdog has a 40% or greater chance to win. I look for a major re-shuffle in the power rankings after this week, as the numbers adjust into a more accurate alignment. As a result, forecasts from week 6 on "should" yield results at 80% or greater. 7A Alonso (Tampa) (80%) over 4A Middleton (Tampa) +20 7A Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville)  (53%) over 2A Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) +2 7A Boca Raton (68%) over 7A Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) +12 7A Boone (Orlando) (65%) over 7A Ocoee +10 7A Centennial (Port St. Lucie) (69%) over SSA Bayside (Palm Bay) +13 7A Creekside (St. Johns) (51%) over 7A Winter Park +1 7A Cypress Bay (Weston) (53%) over 3A Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) +2 7A DeLand (87%) over 4A Deltona +25 7A Dr. Phillips (Orlando) (75%) over 6A Wekiva (Apopka) +17 7A East Ridge (Clermont) (62%) over 7A Ridge Community (Davenport) +8 7A Freedom (Orlando) (60%) over Ind Liberty (Kissimmee) +7 7A Goleman (Miami) (100%) over Ind Hialeah Gardens +46 7A Hagerty (Oviedo) (74%) over 7A Timber Creek (Orlando) +16 7A Lake Nona (Orlando) (66%) over 7A Olympia (Orlando) +11 7A Miami Palmetto (60%) over 2A Miami Killian +7 7A Newsome (Lithia) (50.5%) over 6A Riverview (Riverview) +1 7A Plant City (75%) over 6A Steinbrenner (Lutz) +17 7A Riverview (Sarasota) (100%) over Ind North Port +44 7A Santaluces (Lantana) (62%) over 6A Seminole Ridge (Loxahatchee) +8 7A Spanish River (Boca Raton) (65%) over 7A Wellington +10 7A Spruce Creek (Port Orange) (74%) over 3A Titusville +16 7A Strawberry Crest (Dover) (95%) over 3A Robinson (Tampa) +30 7A Sumner (Riverview) (60%) over 6A Plant (Tampa) +7 7A West Orange (Winter Garden) (100%) over Ind Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) +42 7A West Port (Ocala) (77%) over 3A Citrus (Inverness) +18 7A Western (Davie) (100%) over 7A Taravella (Coral Springs) +43 7A Winter Haven (66%) over 7A Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) +11 6A Armwood (Seffner) (100%) over 4A Hillsborough (Tampa) +40 6A Bartram Trail (St. Johns) (56%) over 5A Orange Park +4 6A Bloomingdale (Valrico) (74%) over 4A Brandon +16 6A Durant (Plant City)  (53%) over 6A Wharton (Tampa) +2 6A East Lake (Tarpon Springs) (87%) over 2A Tarpon Springs +25 6A Evans (Orlando) (71%) over 6A Horizon (Winter Garden) +14 6A First Coast (Jacksonville) (59%) over 4A Clay (Green Cove Springs) +6 6A Fletcher (Neptune Beach) (89%) over 7A Sandalwood (Jacksonville) +26 6A Forest (Ocala) (81%) over 4A Gainesville +21 6A Lake Howell (Winter Park) (56%) over 7A Harmony +4 6A Land O’Lakes (66%) over 4A Leesburg +11 6A Lennard (Ruskin) (100%) over 5A Leto (Tampa) +43 6A Melbourne (74%) over 3A Palm Bay (Melbourne) +16 6A Miami Southridge (100%) over 6A Doral Academy (Miami) +43 6A Mitchell (New Port Richey) (68%) over 2A Tampa Catholic +12 6A Monarch (Coconut Creek) (86%) over 6A Fort Lauderdale +24 6A Nease (Ponte Vedra Beach) (65%) over 4A St. Augustine +10 6A Osceola (Kissimmee)  (53%) over 4A Jones (Orlando) +2 6A Palm Harbor University (75%) over 4A Countryside (Clearwater) +17 6A Palmetto (51%) over 2A Calvary Christian (Clearwater) +1 6A Parrish Community (87%) over 5A Braden River (Bradenton) +25 6A Sickles (Tampa) (71%) over 3A King (Tampa) +14 6A South Lake (Groveland) (71%) over 3A Mount Dora +14 6A South Plantation (Plantation) (83%) over 6A Coral Springs +22 6A Sunlake (Land O'Lakes) (89%) over Ind Hollins (St. Petersburg) +26 6A Tate (Cantonment)  (53%) over 3A West Florida (Pensacola) +2 6A Viera (Melbourne) (57%) over 7A Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) +5 6A West Boca Raton (100%) over 7A Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) +34 6A West Broward (Pembroke Pines) (66%) over 6A Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) +11 6A Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) (68%) over 5A Wesley Chapel +12 5A Baker (Cape Coral) (54%) over 3A DeSoto County (Arcadia) +3 5A Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) (68%) over 7A Douglas (Parkland) +12 5A Cape Coral  (53%) over 3A Estero +2 5A Charlotte (Punta Gorda) (63%) over 5A Fort Myers +9 5A Chiles (Tallahassee) (66%) over 3A Godby (Tallahassee) +11 5A Coconut Creek (54%) over 2A Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) +3 5A Edgewater (Orlando) (100%) over 7A Apopka +35 5A Ely (Pompano Beach) (57%) over 6A Piper (Sunrise) +5 5A Fort Pierce Westwood (74%) over 1A Zephyrhills Christian +16 5A Gulf Coast (Naples) (100%) over 3A Aubrey Rogers (Naples) +38 5A Immokalee (93%) over 6A Gateway (Fort Myers) +29 5A Kathleen (Lakeland) (62%) over 6A Davenport +8 5A Lake Gibson (Lakeland) (89%) over 6A Lake Minneola +26 5A Lakeland (96%) over 2A Washington (Miami) +31 5A Manatee (Bradenton) (74%) over Ind IMG Academy Jr. National (Bradenton) +16 5A Mariner (Cape Coral) (72%) over 3A Island Coast (Cape Coral) +15 5A Martin County (Stuart) (65%) over 4A Dr. Garcia (Lake Worth) +10 5A Matanzas (Palm Coast) (80%) over 4A Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) +20 5A Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) (84%) over 5A Everglades (Miramar) +23 5A Middleburg (89%) over 4A Ridgeview (Orange Park) +26 5A Milton (68%) over 6A Navarre +12 5A Mosley (Lynn Haven) (63%) over 4A Escambia (Pensacola) +9 5A North Fort Myers (51%) over 3A Lemon Bay (Englewood) +1 5A North Miami (62%) over 2A Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) +8 5A Pembroke Pines Charter (54%) over 6A Cooper City +3 5A Ponte Vedra (80%) over 3A Menendez (St. Augustine) +20 5A Riverdale (Fort Myers) (68%) over 3A Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) +12 5A South Fork (Stuart) (59%) over 4A Sebastian River (Sebastian) +6 5A Springstead (Spring Hill) (62%) over 3A Hernando (Brooksville) +8 5A St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) (83%) over 5A McArthur (Hollywood) +22 5A Tampa Bay Tech (59%) over 5A Gaither (Tampa) +6 5A Winter Springs (68%) over Ind Gateway (Kissimmee) +12 4A Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) (96%) over 2A Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) +31 4A Auburndale (59%) over 6A Bartow +6 4A Belen Jesuit (Miami) (66%) over 1A BPVG (Miami) +11 4A Blake (Tampa) (69%) over 5A East Bay (Gibsonton) +13 4A Boynton Beach (69%) over 7A Park Vista (Lake Worth) +13 4A Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) (65%) over 5A Niceville +10 4A Clearwater (65%) over 6A Largo +10 4A Columbia (Lake City) (74%) over 1A Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) +16 4A Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) (75%) over 5A Miramar +17 4A Dunbar (Fort Myers) (100%) over 5A East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) +41 4A Ed White (Jacksonville)  (99%) over 3A Terry Parker (Jacksonville) +33 4A Fivay (Hudson) (66%) over 5A Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) +11 4A Hialeah (87%) over 7A Miami +25 4A Jensen Beach (72%) over 1A Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) +15 4A Lake Wales (68%) over 7A Seminole (Sanford) +12 4A Lecanto (69%) over 3A Crystal River +13 4A Miami Norland  (53%) over 5A Atlantic (Delray Beach) +2 4A Naples (93%) over 5A Golden Gate (Naples) +29 4A New Smyrna Beach (90%) over 1A Crescent City +27 4A Northeast (St. Petersburg) (56%) over 3A Boca Ciega (Gulfport) +4 4A Plantation (69%) over 6A South Broward (Hollywood) +13 4A Port Charlotte (68%) over 5A Sebring +12 4A River Ridge (New Port Richey) (84%) over 3A Hudson +23 4A Riverside (Jacksonville) (68%) over 3A Ribault (Jacksonville) +12 4A Southeast (Bradenton) (100%) over Ind Cypress Creek (Orlando) +39 4A Suncoast (Riviera Beach) (69%) over 7A John I. Leonard (Greenacres) +13 4A Vanguard (Ocala) (77%) over 3A Dunnellon +18 4A Washington (Pensacola) (83%) over 5A Gulf Breeze +22 4A Zephyrhills (87%) over 4A Gulf (New Port Richey) +25 3A Baker County (Glen St. Mary) (54%) over 2A Baldwin +3 3A Bayshore (Bradenton) (75%) over Ind IMG Academy State (Bradenton) +17 3A Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) (56%) over 5A Beachside (St Johns) +4 3A Bishop Moore (Orlando) (90%) over 1A Melbourne Central Catholic +27 3A Bonita Springs (71%) over 5A Palmetto Ridge (Naples) +14 3A Booker (Sarasota) (63%) over 3A Lely (Naples) +9 3A Chamberlain (Tampa) (65%) over 5A Spoto (Riverview) +10 3A Dunedin (83%) over Ind Seminole (Seminole) +22 3A Gibbs (St. Petersburg) (56%) over 5A Pinellas Park (Largo) +4 3A Jefferson (Tampa) (86%) over 4A Freedom (Tampa) +24 3A Merritt Island (68%) over 7A St. Cloud +12 3A Miami Central (63%) over 4A American Heritage (Plantation) +9 3A Miami Northwestern (71%) over 7A Christopher Columbus (Miami) +14 3A Nature Coast Tech (Brooksville) (59%) over 2A Palatka +6 3A South Sumter (Bushnell) (95%) over 5A Belleview +30 3A St. Brendan (Miami) (69%) over 3A Miami Jackson +13 3A Suwannee (Live Oak) (74%) over Rural Hamilton County (Jasper) +16 3A Wakulla (Crawfordville) (100%) over 1A FAMU (Tallahassee) +48 3A Weeki Wachee (83%) over 3A Anclote (Holiday) +22 2A Astronaut (Titusville) (50.5%) over SSA Holy Trinity (Melbourne) +1 2A Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) (69%) over 6A Homestead +13 2A Bolles (Jacksonville) (56%) over 6A Oakleaf (Orange Park) +4 2A Bozeman (Panama City)  (53%) over Rural Sneads +2 2A Bradford (Starke) (72%) over 3A Eastside (Gainesville) +15 2A Cocoa (51%) over 3A Eau Gallie (Melbourne) +1 2A Discovery (Lake Alfred) (57%) over Ind McLaughlin (Lake Wales) +5 2A Florida High "FSU" (Tallahassee)  (53%) over 2A South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) +2 2A Glades Central (Belle Glade) (96%) over 6A Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) +31 2A Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) (71%) over 3A Key West +14 2A Hallandale (60%) over 7A Coral Glades (Coral Springs) +7 2A Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) (75%) over 1A Somerset SASH (Homestead) +17 2A Lakewood (St. Petersburg) (100%) over 4A St. Petersburg +38 2A Miami Carol City (57%) over 7A Coral Gables +5 2A North Bay Haven (Panama City) (54%) over Rural Wewahitchka +3 2A North Miami Beach (83%) over 4A American (Hialeah) +22 2A Pensacola Catholic (75%) over 1A Providence (Jacksonville) +17 2A Ransom Everglades (Miami) (54%) over 1A Westminster Christian (Miami) +3 2A Somerset Silver Palms (Miami) (59%) over 2A Miami Springs +6 2A Tenoroc (Lakeland) (51%) over 4A Lake Region (Eagle Lake) +1 2A The Villages (68%) over 3A Tavares +12 2A Walton (DeFuniak Springs) (57%) over 4A Fort Walton Beach +5 2A Westland Hialeah (95%) over 4A South Miami +30 2A Wolfson (Jacksonville) (65%) over SSA Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) +10 1A Archbishop Carroll (Miami) (66%) over Ind ABF Academy (Hialeah) +11 1A Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) (54%) over 4A Jesuit (Tampa) +3 1A Carrollwood Day (Tampa) (100%) over 3A Mulberry +46 1A Clearwater Central Catholic (57%) over 2A Gadsden County (Havana) +5 1A Episcopal (Jacksonville) (90%) over 1A KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) +27 1A Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) (51%) over SSA Trinity Prep (Winter Park) +1 1A First Academy (Orlando) (57%) over 7A Venice +5 1A First Baptist (Naples) (72%) over 1A P.K. Yonge (Gainesville) +15 1A Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) (68%) over SSA Cambridge (Tampa) +12 1A Lakeland Christian (89%) over 7A George Jenkins (Lakeland) +26 1A Miami Edison (68%) over 2A Monsignor Pace (Miami) +12 1A Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) (66%) over 1A Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) +11 1A Palmer Trinity (Miami) (89%) over Rural Marathon +26 1A Southwest Florida Christian (Ft. Myers) (51%) over 2A Oasis (Cape Coral) +1 1A St. Andrew's (Boca Raton) (78%) over 2A North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) +19 1A St. John Neumann (Naples)  (53%) over 1A Orlando Christian Prep +2 1A St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) (69%) over 1A Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) +13 1A University Christian (Jacksonville) (75%) over 1A Impact Christian (Jacksonville) +17 1A Victory Christian (Lakeland) (57%) over Rural Fort Meade +5 Rural Baker (59%) over 2A Rutherford (Springfield) +6 Rural Blountstown (96%) over 4A Arnold (Panama City Beach) +31 Rural Chiefland (51%) over 1A Trinity Catholic (Ocala) +1 Rural Chipley (56%) over Rural Jay +4 Rural Cottondale (78%) over SSA Lighthouse Academy (Pensacola) +19 Rural Dixie County (Cross City) (57%) over 2A Keystone Heights +5 Rural Fort White (53%) over Rural Union County (Lake Butler) +2 Rural Holmes County (Bonifay) (72%) over Rural Northview (Bratt) +15 Rural Jefferson County (Monticello) (74%) over Rural Vernon +16 Rural Lafayette (Mayo) (81%) over Ind Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) +21 Rural Madison County (Madison) (56%) over 3A Bay (Panama City) +4 Rural Moore Haven (80%) over SSA Hardee (Wauchula) +20 Rural Pahokee (72%) over 6A Palm Beach Gardens +15 Rural Port St. Joe (50.5%) over 5A Leon (Tallahassee) +1 Rural Taylor (Pierson) (56%) over Ind YKIM (Jacksonville) +4 Rural Taylor County (Perry) (81%) over Ind Destin +21 Rural Williston (81%) over 3A North Marion (Citra) +21 Ind Braddock (Miami) (71%) over Ind Miami Coral Park +14 Ind Colonial (Orlando) (50.5%) over Ind Oak Ridge (Orlando) +1 Ind Coral Reef (Miami) (78%) over Ind Reagan (Doral) +19 Ind Coral Shores (Tavernier) (60%) over SSA Glades Day (Belle Glade) +7 Ind Ferguson (Miami)  (53%) over 6A Southwest Miami +2 Ind IMG Academy - National (Bradenton) (81%) over 6A Mandarin (Jacksonville) +21 Ind Innovation (Orlando) (98%) over Ind University (Orlando) +32 Ind Legacy (Port St. Lucie) (62%) over SSA Tradition Prep (Port St Lucie) +8 Ind Miami Country Day (54%) over SSA Faith Christian (Orlando) +3 Ind Miami Sunset (60%) over 5A Hollywood Hills (Hollywood) +7 Ind Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) (71%) over 1A Somerset Key (Deerfield Beach) +14 Ind Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) (71%) over SSA Oxbridge (West Palm Beach) +14 Ind Poinciana (Kissimmee) (50.5%) over 7A Haines City +1 Ind Specially Fit (Dover) (98%) over Ind Hollis Christian (Jacksonville) +32 Ind Varela (Miami) (81%) over Ind Hialeah-Miami Lakes +21 Ind Windermere (92%) over Ind East River (Orlando) +28 SSA American Heritage (Delray Beach) (59%) over 2A King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) +6 SSA Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) (51%) over SSA Windermere Prep +1 SSA Boca Raton Christian (77%) over SSA Geneva (Casselberry) +18 SSA Central Florida Christian (Ocoee) (96%) over SSA Bronson +31 SSA Christ's Church Academy (Jacksonville) (90%) over Ind Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) +27 SSA Coral Springs Charter (93%) over 3A Pompano Beach +29 SSA Eagle's View (Jacksonville) (99%) over SSA Cedar Creek Christian (Jacksonville) +33 SSA Fernandina Beach (54%) over 2A Santa Fe (Alachua) +3 SSA Florida Christian (Miami) (74%) over Ind SmartEn Academy (Miami) +16 SSA Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) (66%) over 3A Eustis +11 SSA Franklin County (East Point) (78%) over SSA Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) +19 SSA Frostproof (89%) over 2A Avon Park +26 SSA Interlachen (86%) over Ind West Oaks Academy (Orlando) +24 SSA Jupiter Christian (100%) over SSA Master's Academy (Vero Beach) +40 SSA LaBelle (69%) over 2A Lake Placid +13 SSA Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) (65%) over SSA Cornerstone (Belle Isle) +10 SSA Lake Weir (Ocala) (54%) over Rural Branford +3 SSA Marco Island Academy (63%) over SSA Babcock (Punta Gorda) +9 SSA Mount Dora Christian (78%) over 4A Pine Ridge (Deltona) +19 SSA Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) (66%) over SSA Bell +11 SSA Out-of-Door (Sarasota) (75%) over SSA Sarasota Christian +17 SSA Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) (57%) over SSA Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg) +5 SSA Satellite (Satellite Beach) (84%) over SSA Atlantic (Port Orange) +23 SSA Seffner Christian (90%) over SSA Orangewood Christian (Maitland) +27 SSA Space Coast (Cocoa) (69%) over 7A Celebration +13 SSA St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) (66%) over Ind Cocoa Beach +11 SSA St. Joseph (St. Augustine) (54%) over Rural Hilliard +3 SSA St. Stephen's (Bradenton) (59%) over SSA Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) +6 SSA Stanton (Jacksonville) (80%) over SSA Harvest Community (Jacksonville) +20 SSA Umatilla (80%) over 3A Central (Brooksville) +20 SSA West Nassau (Callahan) (53%) over 3A Yulee +2  

Norland  Miami Central  Eau Gallie  Venice  Jones  Niceville  St Augustine  Auburndale  McLaughlin  Liberty  Babcock Seminole  West Nassau  Ransom  Branford 

Atlantic Delray Miami Central Eau Gallie Venice Osceola Choctaw Nease Auburndale Discovery Liberty Marco Island Dunedin West Nassau Westminister Christian Lake Weir  

I can go to bed now.  I’ve increased my vocabulary today.

Just like the 3-time Stanley Cup Lightning!