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Pipe Dreams

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Posts posted by Pipe Dreams

  1. knew badbird was guru, liked the name guru better.

     

    badbird/guru, remember when Berry’s son for Apopka punted in the 4th qtr vs DP in 2005, up 16-13, evading the SURE sack/block/fumble on the 1 while being tackled, and DP fumbled the punt return ???

    We had y’all. Crazy 14-point play. 

    badbird and I have actually been on opposing sidelines, head coach (APK) vs player (DP). I missed the first 6 games that year with a broken fibula. I’m sure Guru is relieved of that fact (ha)

  2. Out of Brevard I’d include Cocoa (~ #1-4) and Rockledge (~ #6-8). Likely Viera as well. 

    It’s tough to gauge Brevard comparatively because they tend to play other coastal teams (north and south of Brevard) and don’t have representation in 8A (where a ton of Orlando metro teams are placed).

    -

    SIDE NOTE.. The top 8 to 10 teams in the ranking are very close. We’ll see who rises to the top... for the most part they all play each other.

  3. DP has 9 guys with D1 offers and 6-7 with D1-AA offers. They’re certainly in the 8A North conversation but there are about 8-10 real contenders at this point.

    Last year they were very young. The talent is spread across the 2020, 2021 and 2022 classes.

    2022 could be a special class for DP.

  4. Rank, team, class-region, hypothetical spread

    1. Edgewater — (7A-R1) 
    2. Cocoa — (4A-R2) +3
    3. Jones — (5A-R2) +3
    4. Seminole — (8A R1) +6
    5. Winter Park — (8A-R1) +8
    6. Rockledge — (5A-R3) +16
    7. Osceola — (8A-R2) +16
    8. Bishop Moore — (5A-R2) +16
    9. Dr. Phillips — (8A-R2) +17
    10. Mainland — (6A-R1) +17
    11. Lake Mary — (8A-R1) +17
    12. West Orange — (8A-R1) +20
    13. Apopka — (8A-R1) +20
    14. Viera — (7A-R2) +21
    15. Wekiva — (7A-R1) +21
    16. Oviedo — (8A-R1) +24
    17. Spruce Creek — (8A-R1) +27
    18. Ocoee — (8A-R1) +27
    19. Olympia — (8A-R2) +28

     

    Ranking includes Orange (9 teams), Seminole (3), Brevard (3), Volusia (2), Osceola (1), Sumter (0) & Lake (0) counties.

     

    `

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    The following games between the ranked teams (29 total) represent an average of 1.61 ranked regular season opponents per ranked team. There are also national opponents that have not been incoporated into this stat.

    Weeks 1, 5, 7 and 11 are the best weeks of the season prior to the playoffs.

     

    Week 1

    DP @ Seminole - Pick: Seminole wins 35-20

    Edgewater @ #Bishop Moore - Pick: Edgewater wins 35-17

    #Olympia @ West Orange - Pick: West Orange wins 39-24

    #Viera @ Cocoa - Pick: Cocoa wins 36-14

    Winter Park @ Wekiva - Pick: Winter Park wins 24-13

     

    Week 2

    Seminole @ Lake Mary

    West Orange @ Wekiva

     

    Week 3

    Jones @ Edgewater

    Osceola @ Cocoa

    West Orange @ DP

    Olympia @ Wekiva

     

    Week 4

    Bishop Moore @ Jones

     

    Week 5

    #3 Seminole @ Mainland

    #6 Rockledge @ Viera

    Winter Park @ Edgewater

    Apopka @ DP

     

    Week 6

    Lake Mary @ West Orange 

     

    Week 7

     Mainland @ Cocoa

    Apopka @ Jones

    DP @ #Wekiva

    Lake Mary @ Oviedo

     

    Week 8

    Winter Park @ Oviedo

    Olympia @ DP

    West Orange @ Apopka

     

    Week 10

    Lake Mary @ Apopka

     

    Week 11

    Cocoa @ Rockledge

    West Orange @ Jones

    Wekiva @ Apopka

    Oviedo @ Spruce Creek

  5. 8A north has always been one of the most interesting mini-brackets in the state. It used to be 6A north until 2011. Year in and year out there are 5-8 serious state title contenders out of 8A Region 1 and 8A Region 2.

    This has been my primary focus since ~2011. I focus primarily on these teams as well as other state contenders from 4A up. Here is my list of potentially lethal playoff contenders as well as potential dark horses, with my top 10 in CAPS. Asterisks given to Top 5

    -

    MANDARIN*

    Sandalwood

    Bartram Trail

     

    2

    SEMINOLE*

    Flagler Palm Coast

    DeLand

    Spruce Creek

     

    3

    WINTER PARK*

    Oviedo

     

    4

    LAKE MARY

    APOPKA

    WEST ORANGE

     

    5

    DR PHILLIPS*

    Boone

    Olympia

     

    6

    OSCEOLA

    Lake Nona

     

    7

    PLANT*

     

    8

    SARASOTA RIVERVIEW

  6. I’ve said it for years.

    If a kid and his parents decide to move to another school zone, or to enroll in a school in search of better coaching (and college football opportunities), then they have every right to do so.

    The free market approach makes certain school zones more desirable depending on what a family is looking for (school grade, athletic program, etc). 

    If you build it they will come.

  7. I’ll rank them:

    1t) Dr. Phillips

    1t) Plant

    3) Osceola

    4) Sarasota Riverview

    5) Lake Nona

    6) Boone

    7) Olympia

     

    Plant and Dr. Phillips will renew their rivalry. Those were classics from 2011 to 2014. The 2013 OT game was a nightmare as a sure DP pick was tipped and the Plant WR took it ~80 yards to force OT in the last 2 minutes.

  8. Winter Park and DP should both be top 6 in CFL to start the year. I’d probably have them each in the 2-5 range.

    I also like Jones, Apopka, Seminole, Lake Mary and Mainland.

    Olympia could be much better. Wekiva could drop off some. West Orange is a bit of a wildcard.

  9. DP depth. Projected high impact players.

    * D1 offer

    ^ D1AA offer

    (2) multi-position player

     

    QB - Joe Patti (So) / Brenden Cyr

     

    RB - Brandon Fields *

    RB - Nivon Holland

    RB - Rodney Wells Jr (So)

     

    ATH - Jaydan Taylor (So) (2) *

     

    WR - Joanes Fortilien (So) *

    WR - Jacquez Jones

    WR - Jalen Washington (Jr)

    WR - Ledger Hatch (Jr) *

    WR/TE - Trey Schyck

     

    TE - Jackson Hodor

     

    T - Kyjuan Phillips (Jr) — 6’4, 270

    T - Derek Haupt — 6’4, 280 ^

    G - Austin Purpura (Jr) — 6’2, 280

    G - Devin Hill (So) — 6’2, 280

    C - Reggie Hayes (Jr) — 6’1, 245

     

    -

     

    CB - Tevin Griffey *

    S - Jadai Smith (Jr) *

    S - Jalen Moore (Jr)

    CB - Kameryn Metcalf (So)

     

    DE - Shemar Williams

    DE - Shi Gaskin

    DL - Malik Carson

    DL - Chris Henson

     

    MLB - Stephen Dix *

    OLB- Jean Charles (So)

    OLB/SS - Steve Julssaint

    OLB - Jaydan Taylor (So) (2) *

  10.  DP will need the following to compete for the 8A title:

    1) Consistent QB play. Patti does not turn the ball over as much as the spring game showed. This is the clear #1 factor by a longshot. Joe is Nick/Tony Patti’s cousin.

    2) Depth on defense. The defensive line, defensive backfield and linebacker core do not have much proven talent beyond ~12 players. Many of those guys are high level, but young. 

    3) DP averages around 270 on the OLINE but the talent is young. They need a big summer and this needs to be a strength of the team. The OLINE did not open enough holes last year. IF this offensive line comes together and plays to its potential DP’s offense will be lethal. This is the biggest opportunity area for DP heading into the summer alongside QB development.

    4) A breakout season by RB Brandon Fields, a senior committed to South Carolina who did not play in the spring game due to baseball. See #3 - that will determine how good of a season Fields has. He needs open space and can be a bruiser.

    This DP team has talent in every class, primarily the class of 2022 (sophomores this upcoming season). The wide receiver core is loaded - 6 deep - running back is loaded 3 deep, and the offensive line has the size to take control if they have a good summer. The defense is top-heavy with talent but needs depth.

     

    D1 offers by class (& projected # of additional d1 offers)

    2020: 4 (3-4) — 7-8 total

    2021: 2 (3-4) — 5-6 total

    2022: 2 (5-6) — 7-8 total (TBD)

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