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DarterBlue2

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Posts posted by DarterBlue2


  1.  

    Trying to figure out this Florida HS AP Football Poll Regular season  formula.  They are essentially saying that Delray Atlantic is as dominant at the 8A level as Trininty Christian is at 3A Level - based on ranking and maximum 1st place votes of 13.  I thought W/L record had a role in the ranking but noticed 7A  #1 St.Thomas Aquinas is 8-1 record and 7A Braden River is #2 at 10-0 (a better record than STA)  .
    I know a lot of these rankings do not make much sense but just trying to figure out how they are created.
     
    The 8A AP Poll to me looks off .  Top 3 teams could all be done Friday.
     
    The 7A AP Poll looks a little more realistic. Top 3 look pretty accurate and all could be playing next week .
     
    Other odd rankings as well.  Just wondering if anyone knew the formula or why Delray Atlantic is so heavily ranked as #1 8A ?
     

    Sorry.  Could not copy and past the rankings without it looking jumbled.  Here is the link if you are interested:

     

    http://www.fhsaa.org/news/2015/1111

     

     

    To me,  Trinity Christian (3A) and Trenton (1A)  are the only classes that I understand a #1 ranking ( and all 1st place votes) .   How Delray Atlantic falls into that category is beyond me.?

     

     

     

     

    I am no expert, but believe the poll is determined by surveying sports media personalities in the various regions of Florida. In the past not all regions have been represented as some individuals have either not been invited or have declined. For example, a representative from the Orlando Sentinel would participate in the poll. Or a Manny Navarro from the Miami Herald may be a participant. From year to year, the regions have not always been balanced in terms of representation due to a number of factors. 

     

    Depending on the participants, the polls can yield strange results. For example, in Orlando, there are usually no strong 5a teams. Therefore, the opinions of the Orlando Sentinel representative may not be very good, since there is less incentive to do much research in 5a (Bishop Moore may prove the exception this year). So the 5a pick of the Sentinel representative may not be very well informed. By the same token, in the case of Bishop Moore, it may tempt the Orlando pollster to reflect a homer bias for the benefit of his readership. 

     

    Occasionally, the AP polls are good. However, I think in general they are not as reliable as the rankings put out by individuals such as Pinkos or Laz which are one man operations and reflect methodologies that have been refined over a period of time. Like anything that tries to forecast the future, though, all such rankings/polls have their limitations. 

     

     

     

     

     

     


  2. Well I say this the strength of the BTW team is the oline and Dline belive it or not lol... I'll be at the game Friday night so hopefully it's a thriller like it was last year...

     

    That game is another option I did not think about. It could actually be more competitive than Mainland/Central. I need to include this one in my thought process too.


  3. MC been a pain in Mainland butts the past few years... What you guys think and how good Mainland schedule was this year?

     

    Mainland has a chance if the following happens: 1. Their quarterback, who is a very special athlete, gets enough time to make plays with both his arms and legs. 2. They can eliminate the unnecessary penalties (they average over a 100 yards per game). Unless Central's win against Carol City last week was a fluke (not the win, but the margin), I have to go with Central here (sorry Dan). But I expect it to be a good game, regardless. Moreso than any other Central Florida team, Mainland has a bit of that, "South Florida swagger." So I can say for sure that they will not be intimidated. Central by 7. 


  4. I am torn between this game and making the trip to Daytona to see Mainland/Central. A good friend of mine is a big time Bucs fan and I could get free beer, especially if they can finally win one against the Rockets. 

     

    The Hornet play pretty much in my backyard, around fifteen minutes from home in light traffic. So I am leaning towards the Hallandale game. 

     

    And, yes, Hallandale has to be the favorite. I have looked at their QB on film and he is a very impressive prospect. BM will have its hands full stopping him. We will see if Rashard Lewis, Ray's son can cover the Hallandale receivers.


  5. Interesting match-up between unlikely opponents. Who you all got? I am going to go out on a limb and pick Bishop Moore to pull a big upset in this one. Last year, four points separated them from a win over American Heritage in the state semifinal at AHP. This year they get Hallandale at home the day after Thanksgiving with multiple alumni home for the holidays. The have the majority of last year's contributors on the roster; most of whom are seniors. This is their best chance to win a state title since their unlikely success back in the 1970s, as next year they will be young. 

     

    Fans wanting to see this game need to get there by six to have a chance of getting a seat. BM will have overwhelming crowd support, and Hallandale will be coming in overconfident after the big win against American Heritage. Bishop Moore's one blemish was its loss to Lake Brantley. In that game, after a close first half, Brantley's triple option had its way with a tired Bishop Moore defense. That loss looks bad in light of Lake Brantley's exit from the playoffs last week when they laid a goose egg against Mandarin. To the casual observer, Brantley's departure against one of the more questionable unbeaten teams still standing makes Bishop Moore look weak as Hallandale has gone up against what appears to be much tougher competition. But I would like to suggest that there is much more to this than meets the eye. Lake Brantley was much depleted against Mandarin due to a combination of illness and injury (half the team came down with a severe case of the flu and the three year starting quarterback was on the sidelines with a leg injury). 

     

    In addition to the Lake Brantley game, I saw Bishop Moore twice this year: Against Edgewater, they dominated up front, beating a very decent Eagles team in the trenches. Against Dr. Phillips, in the spring game they more than held their own in the two quarters of varsity (it was a three team round robin) holding DP 14-14 and actually looking crisper despite DP visually looking the much better team. 

     

    In a relatively high scoring game, I am going to pick Bishop Moore: 38-33.


  6. Cocoa's has not played a real team for almost 2 months.  The last legitimate team that they played was @ St. Edward in Ohio.  Booker T. Washington has been playing better teams and I think they keep this one within a touchdown.  I will call it 35-28 with Cocoa advancing here.

     

    This is Cocoa's best chance since they won three consecutive state titles. However, while I would like the "Central Florida team" to win, I think the easy schedule plus the style of play each team brings to the game works against them. I think this will be very close, could go either way, but in the end, I am going to take BTW, by 3.  


  7. So overall it sounds likeost of us agree that there might be 5-10 teams around the state that on a good day might be able to catch IMG if they caught a few breaks or shall I say met IMG on neutral field 10 times could possibly catch them 1-3 Times?

    Like I said earlier, if a team is normally 7-14 pts better than their opponent it only takes a couple of mistakes at the HS level and they can get upset. Look at Hallandale vs. AHP for example.

     

    I would say 10-15 teams in the state would fall in that category. But Manatee is not one of them. No way, no how! Dr. Phillips was up 40-7 with six minutes to go. Dp. is a good team, but a quality Manatee would not get beat up by them that badly. I refer back to the Hoover beat down and the loss to Lincoln as further proof. 


  8. would columbia be able to hold their own with AHP?

     

    Probably. Mainland, Bishop Moore, and Apopka held their own with AHP last year. AHP won two of the three, but all of these games were very close and came down to a couple of plays (both good plays and errors, I might add). AHP is a quality team, but it is not unbeatable. The problem I have with HWY, is that he thinks Manatee would beat IMG. That would not happen; not this year. And it does not matter where the game was played. Braden River could possibly beat IMG. I give them a solid chance against St. Thomas and I would give St. Thomas a shot at IMG even though I don't think this St. Thomas team is on par with recent ones. 


  9. Said it, meant it!  Braden River or Manatee playing IMG in their own back yard would win.

    I sincerely believe you mean what you said, and I just as sincerely believe you are mistaken. It is one thing to wish and hope based on the way the world should be. IT is quite another to confront reality for what it is. Most humans have a great degree of difficulty accomplishing the latter.


  10. Behind who?

    Zoe, his comment makes no sense. The second best team in Manatee County is Braden River. And, I don't think they could beat IMG (they may have an outside shot). As for Manatee, they would get destroyed. Just look what Dr. Phillips or Hoover did to them. No way they compete with IMG like them or not.


  11. Yes.  I was surprised they pulled it off @ AHP .  I have a feeling that in the last game Hallandale played @ AHP they got down early, and said mercy to a degree... may have limited their Offense- not wanting to show AHP everything in there arsenal (knowing they would be facing them in 4 weeks) .  They have been a very dynamic Offense all year and AHP may have been a little over confident in this one thinking they have Hallandale's number.

    Now Halladale will take on Bishop Moore.  Two great teams - particularly with high powered offenses.  I will lean Hallandale here just due to their schedule strength alone.  I expect a high scoring close game.

     

    Hallandale has more overall talent than Bishop Moore. However, BM has this game at home which is a bit of an advantage. It is a relatively small stadium (actually not bad in size for a small school) where the stands are right on top of the field. They get very good fan support (there will be five generations of alumni at the game) who justifiably feel that they were just 3 points away from a state title last year. They are very big up front and several of their linemen have D1 offers. That said, I agree that man for man Hallandale does have more talent. If Hallandale can keep the BM quarterback off balance and if their defense can shut down the BM running game the way Lake Brantley did in the second half of their game, they will win fairly comfortably. However, if we go into the half tied or close to it, BM may win the battle of attrition and take the win at home. As an aside Ray Lewis's son goes both ways for Bishop Moore. He is a bit undersized but is a very skillful ball player.

     

    Not that it means much, but in two quarters of Spring ball, BM and Dr. Phillips were tied at 14 apiece. In a good game, I will take Hallandale by 2 points but would not be surprised if BM pulled the upset. 


  12. Agree with Mandarin.  

     

    Hard to fathom Apopka losing by 10 .  I think West Orange by 4ish.

     

    I got to lean Manatee by 3.  Isn't Dr. Phillips known to choke under pressure?

     

    Agree with Vero Beach in a close one.

     

    Agree with Atlantic.  Atlantic will do whatever they want with Boca Raton.

     

    I don't see Flanagan taking this by 24.  Deerfield is known for serious Home Cooking this time of year.  They blast hip hop music when the opposing offense is in the huddle and until the ball snaps. Refs go blind to it..... 2 years ago they robbed Flanagan with a phantom Offensive Pass Interference call in overtime that would have been the TD victory.  Flanagan stuffed Brandon Powell all night that night as well.  I got Flanagan in a tight one by 4 here.

     

    Agree with Coral Gables by 4.  If Columbus finds a way to win... it is likely with coaching.

     

    I got South Dade  by 10+ here.

    We were both wrong with: Mandarin, Vero Beach and Coral Gables. I was closer on Flanagan, Apopka and Dr. Phillips, which is a very talented team, but one that is not consistent. 

     

    In the next round I got:

    West Orange over Mandarin which gets exposed. WO by 17

    Dr. Phillips over Osceola by 7, the more balanced team wins a very competitive game if it has its head on right

    Flanagan over Atlantic by 21. Atlantic has not had a very hard schedule and gets exposed like Mandarin

    Columbus over South Dade by 14, better coached and more battle tested team wins.


  13. Lake Brantley at Mandarin - Lake Brantley by 14. Lake Brantley has a state title caliber offense. Unfortunately, with the exception of the Bishop Moore game, their defense has not looked stellar. I expect this game                                              to be a high scoring one in the region of 100 points total with LB getting the better of it.

    Apopka at West Orange   -  WO by 10. Darlington has not lost to the same team twice in a season since 2000. However, while I think he keeps it close, I don't think this APK team can beat this WO team.

    Manatee at Dr. Phillips     -  Dr. Phillips by 3. Dr. Phillips had a bad game against Steinbrenner. Manatee confirmed my impressions against Oak Ridge. I pick DP. solely because of home field advantage.

    Vero Beach at Osceola    -  Vero Beach by 1. I see this as an even game and a very difficult one to pick. I was tempted to go with Osceola at home. However, I believe VB is the more complete team and that it                                                   finds a way to win.

    Boca Raton at Atlantic     -   Atlantic by 24. This is a rematch of a game Atlantic won handily. I see them winning bigger this time.

    Flanagan at Deerfield B   -  Flanagan by 24. The better team with the better defense wins comfortably, injuries and all.

    Columbus at Coral Gab   -  Coral Gables win by 4. I think Gables is the better team and though Columbus has a great staff, like Apopka, I don't think they have enough this year.

    Southridge at South D     -  South Dade by 7. Another rematch with the same outcome. The winner the first time wins again. This one will be closer as I think Southridge has improved since the first meeting.

     

    Thoughts and/or comments

     

    Semi Finals

    North:

    Lake Brantley vs Dr. Phillips - I reserve my pick till the week of the game.

     

    South:

    Flanagan vs Coral Gables - I am going to take Flanagan, injuries and all

    Wrong on Lake Brantley, Coral Gables and Osceola. Right on the others. Regarding Lake Brantley, they lost the starting QB due to injury and half the team caught the flu. So there is a little excuse there. This is the only time their offense has been shut down this year and that was a big part of it. I had expected Osceola/VB to be a tight game and it was. I just picked the wrong team. Should have know better and taken Osceola at home. On Coral Gables/Columbus, I was just flat out wrong. Columbus avenged its loss in fine style. Given the LB and Gables losses, my new semifinals are as follows:

     

    North:

    West Orange vs Dr. Phillips - WO exposes Mandarin for the lucky team they have been on the way to the regional final. In this game, I am going with DP to avenge its early loss to WO. Playoff experience makes the difference

     

    South:

    Flanagan vs Columbus - I am going to stick with Flanagan despite Columbus's impressive win against Coral Gables

     

    Final:

    Dr. Phillips vs Columbus - I will reserve a pick on this game till semi final week


  14. Columbia vs Lincoln -     Columbia by 2. This is a rematch of an early season game. I won't take much stock from the first result which saw Columbia winning, but think overall Columbia has had a better season                                            with more impressive results.

    Buchholtz v Batram T -  Batram Trail by 1. Batram Trail beat a very good Hagerty team at Hagerty. Buchholtz struggled with Edgewater at home and was probably luck to win. I think BT avenges the earlier loss.

    Martin County vs Vierra- Vierra by 1. Vierra beat Martin County at home in regular season and I think they find a way to do it again.

    Lakeland vs Plant       -   Lakeland by 4. Both have very good coaching. I believe the more athletic, better tested team wins.

    Plant City vs TBT        -   Tampa Bay Tech wins by 3 avenging district loss. Since the loss to Plant City, TBT has been playing better football while PC does not seem to have improved. I am taking the improved                                               team to avenge the loss in this one.  

    Braden River vs Venice- Braden River has not looked back all season and wins this by 10. Another rematch. I don't think Venice has shown that they can reverse the earlier result. I expect BR to go deep.

    Dwyer vs St. Thomas   - St. Thomas by 28. Despite injuries and not looking invincible, St. Thomas has more than enough to beat Dwyer.

    Mater vs Miami Sunset - Sunset by 3. Mater had a rough playoff game and did not give me reason to believe they can reverse the earlier result.

     

    At this stage I am going to pick the semi final teams:

     

    North:

    Columbia vs Lakeland - I expect Columbia to win

    South:

    Braden River vs St. Thomas Aquinas - This is a hard one to call. I reserve judgment till the week of the game.

    So far one loss in seven games with the eighth to come today. Only mistake was Tampa Bay Tech which lost for a second time to Plant City. Columbia was very impressive in it win against Lincoln. I stand by them getting to Orlando. I also believe Braden River at home has a great chance to beat St. Thomas. However, the team's lack of deep playoff experience could factor into the game. 


  15. Crazy to think one of these teams will have their season end in the 2nd round Friday evening.   Thoughts and predictions?

     

    I think if Miami Central will try to establish the run and rely on their Defense to win a tight one .  However, the Carol City Defense is no pushover and they have a more dynamic Offense with arguably the best QB in South Florida.  Should be a fairly tight game.  I am going to lean Miami Central by 3 here.

    I like the Chiefs in this one. I think the difference is they have a more multi-dimensional offense. Really a pity I could not take in this game. I expect it to be very tight. Carol City by 4 in a relatively low scoring game.


  16. Agree with Mandarin.  

     

    Hard to fathom Apopka losing by 10 .  I think West Orange by 4ish.

     

    I got to lean Manatee by 3.  Isn't Dr. Phillips known to choke under pressure?

     

    Agree with Vero Beach in a close one.

     

    Agree with Atlantic.  Atlantic will do whatever they want with Boca Raton.

     

    I don't see Flanagan taking this by 24.  Deerfield is known for serious Home Cooking this time of year.  They blast hip hop music when the opposing offense is in the huddle and until the ball snaps. Refs go blind to it..... 2 years ago they robbed Flanagan with a phantom Offensive Pass Interference call in overtime that would have been the TD victory.  Flanagan stuffed Brandon Powell all night that night as well.  I got Flanagan in a tight one by 4 here.

     

    Agree with Coral Gables by 4.  If Columbus finds a way to win... it is likely with coaching.

     

    I got South Dade  by 10+ here.

     

     

    i saw apopka first hand this season, i think they are a more proven team then west orange, manatee vs Dr Phillips should be a good game, and i notice that second round in all brackets seem to include a lot of rematches, even some that arent even district games, like columbia vs lincoln for example

     

    Here is the problem as I see it. Apopka has about as many passing yards in the regular season and one playoff game as they did in the Spring and Kick Off Classic game. This tells me that RD has no confidence in the QB passing skills of the kid taking most of the snaps. While RD does not like to throw, I have never seen one of his teams so devoid of a passing game.  In the second half against WO Apopka's run game was totally shut down (about 20 yards). I am sure Apopka will add wrinkles but can't see them scoring more than 3 touchdowns just running the ball. WO should score at least the 28 they scored against Apopka the first time. They have a very dynamic offense. Not has high scoring as Lake Brantley's but very good nonetheless. For Apopka to keep WO under 10 points it will have to score at least 20 on the ground and hold WO to just four scores. This is a difficult, but not impossible task.


  17. Columbia vs Lincoln -     Columbia by 2. This is a rematch of an early season game. I won't take much stock from the first result which saw Columbia winning, but think overall Columbia has had a better season                                            with more impressive results.

    Buchholtz v Batram T -  Batram Trail by 1. Batram Trail beat a very good Hagerty team at Hagerty. Buchholtz struggled with Edgewater at home and was probably luck to win. I think BT avenges the earlier loss.

    Martin County vs Vierra- Vierra by 1. Vierra beat Martin County at home in regular season and I think they find a way to do it again.

    Lakeland vs Plant       -   Lakeland by 4. Both have very good coaching. I believe the more athletic, better tested team wins.

    Plant City vs TBT        -   Tampa Bay Tech wins by 3 avenging district loss. Since the loss to Plant City, TBT has been playing better football while PC does not seem to have improved. I am taking the improved                                               team to avenge the loss in this one.  

    Braden River vs Venice- Braden River has not looked back all season and wins this by 10. Another rematch. I don't think Venice has shown that they can reverse the earlier result. I expect BR to go deep.

    Dwyer vs St. Thomas   - St. Thomas by 28. Despite injuries and not looking invincible, St. Thomas has more than enough to beat Dwyer.

    Mater vs Miami Sunset - Sunset by 3. Mater had a rough playoff game and did not give me reason to believe they can reverse the earlier result.

     

    At this stage I am going to pick the semi final teams:

     

    North:

    Columbia vs Lakeland - I expect Columbia to win

    South:

    Braden River vs St. Thomas Aquinas - This is a hard one to call. I reserve judgment till the week of the game.

     


  18. Lake Brantley at Mandarin - Lake Brantley by 14. Lake Brantley has a state title caliber offense. Unfortunately, with the exception of the Bishop Moore game, their defense has not looked stellar. I expect this game                                              to be a high scoring one in the region of 100 points total with LB getting the better of it.

    Apopka at West Orange   -  WO by 10. Darlington has not lost to the same team twice in a season since 2000. However, while I think he keeps it close, I don't think this APK team can beat this WO team.

    Manatee at Dr. Phillips     -  Dr. Phillips by 3. Dr. Phillips had a bad game against Steinbrenner. Manatee confirmed my impressions against Oak Ridge. I pick DP. solely because of home field advantage.

    Vero Beach at Osceola    -  Vero Beach by 1. I see this as an even game and a very difficult one to pick. I was tempted to go with Osceola at home. However, I believe VB is the more complete team and that it                                                   finds a way to win.

    Boca Raton at Atlantic     -   Atlantic by 24. This is a rematch of a game Atlantic won handily. I see them winning bigger this time.

    Flanagan at Deerfield B   -  Flanagan by 24. The better team with the better defense wins comfortably, injuries and all.

    Columbus at Coral Gab   -  Coral Gables win by 4. I think Gables is the better team and though Columbus has a great staff, like Apopka, I don't think they have enough this year.

    Southridge at South D     -  South Dade by 7. Another rematch with the same outcome. The winner the first time wins again. This one will be closer as I think Southridge has improved since the first meeting.

     

    Thoughts and/or comments

     

    Semi Finals

    North:

    Lake Brantley vs Dr. Phillips - I reserve my pick till the week of the game.

     

    South:

    Flanagan vs Coral Gables - I am going to take Flanagan, injuries and all


  19. Dwyer was really lucky to escape Ely:

     

    DWYER 16, BLANCHE ELY 14

    Scoring by quarter:

    BE: 6-6-2-0

    D: 13-0-0-3

    Scoring summary:

    D: Moses 3 run (Trepcos kick)

    BE: Gattis 80 pass from Perdue (kick failed)

    D: Moses 17 pass from Centeio (kick failed)

    BE: Taylor 9 pass from Perdue (kick failed)

    BE: Safety

    D: Trepcos 37 FG 

    Team stats:

    First Downs: BE 14, D 13 

    Rushes-yards: BE 29-158, D 35-119

    Passing yards: BE 133, D 109 

    Comp-Att-Int: BE 6-18-2, D 9-11-0

    Punts: BE 2-33.5, D 3-39.3

    Fumbles-lost: BE 0-0, D 1-0

    Penalties-yards: BE 9-65, D 5-36

     

     

    Deerfield Beach lucky to escape Plantation:

     

    DEERFIELD BEACH 17, PLANTATION 14

    Scoring by quarter:

    P:0-6-8-0

    DB: 7-10-0-0

    Scoring summary:

    DB: Jeudy 48 pass from Moffett (Souza kick)

    DB: Jeudy 6 pass from Moffett (Souza kick)

    P: Johnson 4 run (pass failed)

    DB: Souza 48 FG

    PL: Johnson 56 run (Johnson pass from Banton) 

    Team stats:

    First Downs: P 16, DB 13

    Rushes-yards: P 38-292, DB 22-117

    Passing yards: P 90, DB 147

    Comp-Att-Int: P 7-14-0, DB 14-18-0

    Punts: P 3-31.0, DB 6-41.0

    Fumbles-lost: P 2-1, DB 0-0

    Penalties-yards: P 11-70, DB 9-50

    I was not surprised by either of these games. Ely is the best team in the state with a terrible win/loss record. They could/would beat many 8-2, 7-3 teams. Their schedule was very tough and they lost several close games. Regarding Deerfield Beach, they have a history of playing St. Thomas very close and have beaten them several times over the years (Miramar is another team that gives St. Thomas fits). Therefore, I did not take as much from that win as I would if they had beaten, say, Miami Central or Flanagan. And, while I know Wing T, Triple Option, Single Wing type football gives several South Florida teams trouble as not many teams run that type of offense down there, I just felt Bolles was not very good this year. I expect Flanagan to handle DB comfortably. 


  20.  

    I know less about 7A but here goes:

     

    Lincoln vs Robert E. Lee - Lincoln by 21, Lee's record does not look very impressive                                                                                  Correct

     

    Columbia vs Chiles - Columbia by 31, easy first round for a good team                                                                                                          Correct

     

    Buchholtz vs Edgewater - Buchholtz by 3, but Edgewater has the athletes to pull the upset                                                                       Correct

     

    Hagerty vs Bartram Trail - Hagerty by 17, the best unknown Orlando team keeps veteran coach Phil Ziegler in the playoff hunt      Incorrect

     

    St. Cloud vs Martin County - St. Cloud by 1, this is my homer pick as I really don't see any  separation between the two                   Incorrect

     

    Viera vs Harmony - Viera by 14, better program on the rise                                                                                                                              Correct

     

    Lakeland vs Sickles - Lakeland by 1, should be a very close game that could go either way; Sickles has beaten all the teams they should have pretty easily  Correct but way wrong on the spread

     

    Plant vs Kathleen - Plant by 1, should be a very close game that could go either way; edge to the more experienced team             Correct          

     

    Plant City vs East Lake - East Lake by 3 in another close game                                                                                                                      Incorrect

     

    Countryside vs Tampa Bay Technical - Countryside by 1,  should be a very close game that could go either way                              Incorrect

     
    Braden River vs Gulf Coast - Braden River by 24 in an easy victory. This is a good team that could go far                                           Correct
     
    South Fort Myers vs Venice - Venice by 7, only loss was to Braden River who I think is a very good team                                           Correct                      
     
    Dwyer vs Blanche Ely - Dwyer by 13, Ely's record is deceptive, but Dwyer has too much for them to handle                                       Correct
     
    St. Thomas Aquinas vs Royal Palm Beach - Easy win for St. Thomas by 28+ points                                                                                 Correct - spot on. St. Thomas is not as dominant as last year, injuries or not
     
    Nova vs Mater Academy - Mater by 31, Nova's district not very good                                                                                                           Correct - but way off on margin of victory
     
    Miami Sunset vs West Broward - Sunset by 21, WB lost to Nova who is not very good                                                                            Correct
     
    Comments or disagreement?

     

    12 right and 4 wrong. Also some big score differentials: Lakeland, Mater, Miami Sunset, Venice, Columbia, Lincoln, Viera. 


  21. For the fun of it:

     

    Mandarin vs Oviedo - Oviedo by 7 - QB Nick Carbone is the difference maker                                                                                                               Incorrect

     

    Lake Brantley vs Sandalwood - Brantley by 27, triple option offense too much for Sandalwood which does not see it                                          Correct

     

    Timber Creek vs Apopka - Apopka by 31, TC's offensive strength plays into Apopka's defensive strength                                                               Correct   

     

    West Orange vs Boone - West Orange by 29 too much fire power for Boone                                                                                                                   Correct

     

    Dr. Phillips vs Stienbrenner - Phillips by 17, DP. has too much experience and too many weapons                                                                          Correct

     

    Manatee vs Oak Ridge - Manatee by 21, Manatee pulls away late to win comfortably                                                                                                  Correct

     

    Osceola vs Treasure Coast - Osceola by 24, ground game wears out TC                                                                                                                        Correct

     

    Vero Beach vs Gateway - Vero Beach by 17, Gateway just glad to make the playoffs                                                                                                   Correct

     

    Palm Beach Gardens vs Boca Raton - Boca by 2, difficult game to pick; could go either way                                                                                      Correct

     

    Atlantic vs Wellington - Atlantic by 35, this should be a blowout                                                                                                                                         Correct

     

    Deerfield Beach vs Plantation - Deerfield Beach by 7, this should be a good game that could go either way                                                          Correct

     

    Flanagan vs Piper - Flangan by 40, Piper does not belong on the same field; Flanagan will take its frustration out on them                               Correct

     

    American vs Columbus - Columbus by 31, another blowout                                                                                                                                              Correct

     

    Coral Gables vs Hialeah - Coral Gables by 41, Hialeah does not belong on the same field                                                                                       Correct

     

    Belan Jesuit vs Southridge - I will take Southridge by 12, but this could be an interesting game                                                                               Correct

     

    South Dade vs Southwest - South Dade by 35; this is the sleeper 8A team that could make it to Orlando                                                               Correct

     

    Anyone have any insights, particularly on the southern half of the bracket?

    15 of 16 in the first round. Some of the scores remarkably accurate. Missed the boat a bit on a few: South Dade, Columbus, Vero Beach and Lake Brantley. And, got the Mandarin/Oviedo game totally wrong as I thought Mandarin would lose. 

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