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SPCjessica2004

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About SPCjessica2004

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  1. Class 3A, Round 2 happiness!

    Oh hai guys and girls! In honor of the playoffs heating up, Brad and I decided to put together some information and look at round 2 of the 3A playoffs. We've posted stuff on twitter for general consumption, but wanted to go a bit deeper into things since we've been told (we know!) that conversation about small school football is hard to come by. We also wanted to put some points out there in response to other conversations from around the state. Random things we've been meaning to comment on! --> JaxTCA lost to Ocala Trinity 23-21 in round 1. We'll give OTC their due further down the page, but outside of the Pensacola Catholic loss in 2012, this has to be the most disappointing loss for JaxTCA in years. Let's be real, nobody wants to play JaxTCA, so they had to play one of the toughest schedules in recent memory. There was reason for hope when they defeated Raines in week 11, but the damage had already been done prior to the playoffs starting. JaxTCA entered the playoffs with more bodies on the sideline than on the field. We expected JaxTCA to roll through the playoffs, but it didn't happen. While we think the 2020 JaxTCA team has one of the highest talent and athletic windows in the state, it's also going to have to play another impossible schedule. --> We no longer live in a world where rankings can be based soley on records, but we also don't believe that just because a team plays a tough schedule they should be given a pass. Like a healthy diet, everything needs to be in moderation. We aren't suggesting 3A teams go play STA every week, but we aren't saying to load your schedule up with 4-6 teams who beat other 4-6 teams either. This has been a hot topic issue all year. --> We like the RPI system, but it needs tweaks to the OOWP. We have been in favor of combining 2A and 3A for years. Many 2A and 3A teams have natural rivalries and it doesn't change the geography of the state. Okay, now let's look Class 3A Round 2. Note, there are two predictions. Ours on top and the Maxpreps Prediction. We did NOT look at Maxprep's predictions prior to making our picks! Lakeland Christian (8-1) hosts Melbourne Central Catholic (4-6) LCS started the season off slow, but picked up momentum and has won 7 in a row. MCC has had a rough season this year, but did manage a victory at Frostproof. The Hustlers are balanced on offense and somewhat stout on defense. In their loses teams have had success running the ball. LCS has been rolling after a week 2 loss to Bishop Verot. LCS was always our pick to come out of region 2. MCC fights hard, but LCS gets the W. LCS by 14 MP: LCS by 9 Pensacola Catholic (10-0) vs Ocala Trinity Catholic (8-2) Rumors of OTC coming back to power were murmured in DM's, watercooler talk and noises in the night. After defeating JaxTCA the rumors have been verified, OTC is a legitimate football team again. Jamarian Samuel has been a superstar for OTC rushing for just over 2,200 yards and 23 TD's. We watched OTC vs Calvary Christian and even though OTC came up short on that night against a very good Calvary team, we knew they had potential to be great. Pensacola Catholic is having the season expected of them. They're 10-0 with a hefty senior class. They have a couple of good wins to their name, but no marquee wins. This is a hard nosed, tough football team that can harass quarterbacks. Catholic has one heck of a homefield advantage in this one. OTC has a 5.5 hour drive (One way), but if they can overcome the early emotion should pick up their second stellar win in a row. OTC by 7 MP: OTC by 1 Chaminade-Madonna (8-2) vs Somerset Academy (8-2) The 2x defending state champions start the playoffs against a good, but over matched opponent. Somerset isn't technically a bad football team in relationship to what their aspirations are, but Chaminade is simply better. The Lions won't need it this week, but they will need to continue to develop Brady Allen and Alexander Law at QB for next week. Also good news, the Lions are pretty much 100% healthy at this point outside of Willie Moise. Kudos to Somerset for a good 8-2 record, but this is the biggest mis-match in all of the small school games in Florida this week. Chaminade by 49. MP: Chaminade by 26 Miami Edison (6-5) vs Calvary Christian Academy (9-1) This game is a poster child for throwing out the records. Calvary is having a great season and did pull off quality wins over Benjamin and Miami Christian, but Miami Edison has played some of the best the state has to offer including Booker T, Northwestern, Carol City, Naples, Miami Central, Coral Gables. Edison has taken some losses, but they did manage to compete in some of those games and even pulled off a win over Carol City. Calvary has taken a few steps forward, but even with some lopsided losses we're going Miami Edison. Edison by 14. MP: Edison by 4. Benjamin School (8-3) at Bishop Verot (8-2) This should be a good game as the Bishop Verot Vikings are having a good season this year having defeated Lakeland Christian, Tampa Catholic and North Ft. Myers. They competed well, but came up short against American Heritage and always tough Uschool. Benjamin School hasn't been shabby themselves, their win over a good Cardinal Newman team last week was impressive and the Buccaneers have been consistent all season. We think Bishop Verot has to much speed for Benjamin School, but the Bucs will make this a game. Bishop Verot by 10 MP: BV by 10 FSU-DRS (9-1) vs Episcopal School of Jacksonville (10-1) On paper this game should favor FSU-DRS and Qb Willie Taggart Jr. FSU's only loss was to super tough Madison County, Episcopal School was blown out earlier in the year by Baldwin but avenged that loss last week 35-25. This is a high quality match-up, but we're going FSU-DRS in this one. FSU has played a significantly tougher schedule. We just think they have the passing attack to open this game. FSU-DRS by 20 MP: Episcopal by 20 Berkeley Prep (8-1) vs Clearwater Central Catholic (8-3) There are many individuals around the state who feel that this Berkeley Prep team can win class 3A this year. They have a devastating 3 pronged rushing attack lead by one of the better linemen in the state Zach Perkins, a stout passing game and a defense giving up less than 10 points per game lead by one of the top linebackers in the country, Jaylen Harrell. Dom Ciao, the HC at Berkeley is one of the best coaches in the business. They have home field advantage against the teams they need it against and they also have a 21-14 win over CCC. Of course, that win was in week 1. To say CCC has gotten better since their early season losses to Tampa Jesuit, Berkeley and Brentwood is an understatement. They are 8-1 since starting 0-2. They do hold wins over Clearwater, Uschool, Sebring and a rout of Tampa Catholic. CCC has clearly played a tougher schedule at this point. We pegged Berkeley facing Calvary Christian in the regional finals playing a classic and surviving. Part of this is because we also felt Berkeley and Calvary were far and away better than the rest of the region. CCC put a running clock on Calvary in the third quarter. Berkeley is better than Calvary, but they aren't playing better than CCC right now. Still, Berkeley has had 2 weeks to prep for this match-up and that will be the difference. Berkeley by 10 MP: Berkeley by 3 And because we have friends at Tampa Catholic! 4A! Tampa Catholic (6-5) at American Heritage (5-5) Tampa Catholic started off the season on fire at 2-0 and winning by a combined 78-14, then they faced 0-2 CCC who finally got healthy and was run off the field. That can be forgiven. TC then caught fire and won the next two games 125-0. They then lost to Berkeley Prep in a game they were down 21-16 with the ball under 2 minutes, but couldn't convert. Then they lost Winter Haven, then they lost to Bishop Verot and for the 20th consecutive year lost to Tampa Jesuit. The point? TC is very good at running the score up on bad teams, but not so good at scoring against good teams. American Heritage is a good team that could be very good if not for being bit by the injury bug. TC doesn't really have a signature win, but they have levels of competitiveness against good teams. Outside of the CCC game, they were at least in every other game until the 4th quarter. My understanding is that AHD is finally healthy which doesn't bode well for TC. This is a shame because on paper, TC should be one of the top teams in the state but clearly something is holding them back. AHD by 14 MP: AHD by 4
  2. 12 Interesting Games This Week

    University School threw multiple interceptions early in the game, 2 in the first half, 1 in the second half on drives they were moving the ball. Bishop Verot was up 6-0 at halftime. In the second half, the Uschool passing game finally got on track and provided separation. Uschool won the second half 21-7. I admit that we got this one wrong. Bishop Verot appears ready to be a force in their region with their athletes. There are some good video highlights and commentary of the game on the Ft. Myers TV station. I don't have a link but watched it yesterday. This might end up being a bigger win for Uschool than first thought.
  3. 12 Interesting Games This Week

    Agreed. I would not want to be Bishop Verot this week.
  4. We admit when we are wrong! Congratulations to Vero Beach High School and their fans on one of the more impressive wins we've seen recently. It's one thing to win, but to hold Chaminade to 0 points, we would vote in favorite of giving you a 61st consecutive victory if that were possible! We felt confident that the staff at Chaminade would have their team more prepared than this, but it's back to the drawing board for the Lions. We still like Chaminade, but that's a tale for another message board topic. For now, the focus should be on Vero winning.
  5. The Gap Between Haves & Have Nots Widens

    This is 100% on STA. Chaminade-Madonna has wanted to play STA since Jason Milgrom rebuilt Chaminade to the point they've been told to tone it down by the ADOM which STA is a part of and C-M is a contributing member of (due to being sponsored by a religious community). As a result of the numerous requests was that starting in 2019 Chaminade and STA would start playing each other in JV. Granted it's JV and not indicative of varsity, but Chaminade ran STA off the field with homegrown talent- very few transfers on JV for Chaminade. They actually play a second JV game later this year. I'm told that to get on STA's varsity schedule is usually something that needs to be done 3-5 years in advance due to the way their specific scheduling setup works. Even if it was a preseason or spring game it would be a start. If Chaminade wins 3A in 2019 and upsets JaxTCA in the process to win their 3rd consecutive 3A state championship, STA will no longer be able to ignore "little" Chaminade and more people will start calling them out to play Chaminade.
  6. Who Made Statements This Weekend?

    I would respectfully say Uschool beating Davie Western 14-9 was a big win for Uschool. Uschool caught a lot of unnecessary flank from fans for losing to McArthur 19-0 but they had their QB and I'm told others out. Apparently, Western is one of the better teams in South Florida and Uschool never trailed. I'm interested in the Uschool-Columbus game and hope it's streamed!
  7. Belen vs Columbus

    Belen Jesuit has a couple of great athletes with good coaching. Here's my husband's theory.. Belen had good off-season hype due to returning talent which was magnified by beating CCC and tying Gibbons in the Spring. After digging into that specific evening, neither Gibbons or CCC prepared for Jesuit since they were added to the jamboree a day before the jamboree. Once the pre-season rolled around Jesuit was exposed by University School and then destroyed by Columbus which is bringing expectations back down to reality. They're a good team that if they have a great night can pull an upset provided the other team doesn't have the chance to prepare for them.
  8. Who Will Be This Year's Biggest Bust?

    Your point is well taken, but AHP "beat" Chaminade in a game that was played under odd rules. #1) The game featured 3 10 minute quarters. #2) Despite being 20-13, the 4th, 10 minute quarter was played with a running clock. Chaminade held out Willie Moise (4 star DT) and Elijah Cannon (game changing WR). Even with all of that said, Chaminade had the ball at the AHP 15 with under 2 minutes left with a change to tie or win the game. I've spoken with no less than 7 people about the game on social media in background messages and the overall feeling is that Chaminade was the better team and likely wins by a TD if the game is played with normal rules. To AHP's credit, they do have a very good passing attack. Chaminade doesn't have the superstar power in the secondary of years past, but if Moise plays, I think the QB for AHP is held in check. To bad they don't play in the regular season this year.
  9. 3A 2019 Style!

    I know, it's sad! :-( Boo Spectrum! CCC seems to be hit or miss on streaming their games and TC doesn't stream at all or at least I don't know of them streaming anything. With the amount of talent on the field when they play that would be an easy selection. Now that they are in separate classes it also stinks the game will only happen once per year. If Spectrum still broadcast games I imagine they would also be all over the CCC vs Clearwater game. I'm sad to also hear the rumored Lakewood vs Tampa Catholic game didn't happen.
  10. NM

    1. SPCjessica2004

      SPCjessica2004

      I would be willing to look into it. Maybe a special guest appearance at some point near playoff time.  Most of my communication has been one sided with people passing things on, but I haven't translated it into message board posts due to lack of time and honestly, lack of energy.

    2. peezy28
  11. 3A 2019 Style!

    Maxpreps just released their top 50 small school football programs (Maxpreps generally defines schools with less than 1,000 enrollment as a small school and plays in a smaller classification). Jacksonville Trinity comes in at #3 Chaminade Madonna comes in at #5 Madison County comes in at # 24 FSU High comes in at # 28 CCC comes in at # 38 While the poll is top 50, Florida has 5 of the top programs in the top 40. Looking at states individually Georgia 13 Florida 5 Cali 4 Texas 4 Not a bad showing for Florida, but clearly Georgia is putting some elbow grease into their small school football teams. https://t.co/rxFHSXf3ma?amp=1
  12. 3A 2019 Style!

    Hey everybody! Sorry I haven't posted a preview for the upcoming football season. We haven't put together a big preview like years past, but I figured I would post some thoughts on the upcoming season. It's not as detailed as I would have liked, but it's what I have to give to the community. First off, here's our top 5 teams in 3A for 2019. #1 Jacksonville Trinity Christian- JaxTCA returns to their old stomping grounds in 3A after winning four consecutive state championships from 2013-2016. While much ink has been spilt about the defensive secondary, the offense is looking mighty prolific. The schedule is going to be a tough nut to crack, but JaxTCA is well prepared to have success. The challenge for JaxTCA isn't that they aren't a great team, but it's going to be team health. For 3A, JaxTCA is arguably the deepest team around; however, in comparison to the teams they will be playing they can't match their depth. Still, expect to see JaxTCA in the state finals in December even if they do get banged up. #2) Chaminade-Madonna- The defending two time state champions in 3A are sitting in a great position into 2019. They return quite a bit of talent and have been bolstered by a wealth of talented transfers. C-M has historically played a tough schedule and the 2019 version will not be any different. Games against Miami Central, Carol City, Vero Beach, Pahokee, Atlantic and a pre-season game against American Heritage (Plantation) will all be challenges. There isn't a lot of weakness on this roster, it's a solid well put together roster. The QB situation will work itself out before the powers come calling mid-season. Overall, expect another great season for the Lions. #3) Clearwater Central Catholic- The off-season didn't start off with a bang for the Marauders. Players transferred out, coaches left and then they were run off the field in the spring game against Belen Jesuit and Cardinal Gibbons as they broke in a new QB. Since then? The Marauders have emerged as an legitimate contender once again. The schedule is going to be highly competitive in 2019 (the CCC vs Tampa Catholic game needs to be televised!). I think it's safe to say CCC fans should expect another lengthy post thanksgiving playoff run. #4) Pensacola Catholic- The Crusaders had a strong outing in 2018 and bring the roster back in 2019. A roster which features a lot of experience, 28 seniors. There's plenty of depth at all positions. While the schedule isn't as competitive as the teams ranked above them, it's still a good schedule and should prepare the Crusaders for the playoffs. #5) Florida High School- The Seminoles had a great run in 2018 but were upset by King's Academy. Lead by QB Willie Taggart Jr, the Seminoles should have another terrific season after having a plethora of youth in 2019. The season features traditional rivals and local talent. Some general thoughts: -->I'm big on Pensacola Catholic in 2019. I'm not suggesting they'll compete with JaxTCA, but I do think they will be dangerous. I would love to see FSU School vs Pensacola Catholic. That would be a great north-Florida 3A contest. --> I think Chaminade and JaxTCA will end up playing each other in the state finals. JaxTCA is better than Chaminade by 2 TD's right now. What changes things is serious injuries. I note serious injuries because JaxTCA will effectively have 4 weeks off between the end of their regular season and the state championship game. If we're being honest, nobody in the north would pose a threat to even a beat up JaxTCA team. Due to the lack of challenge for that length of time, I expect JaxTCA to reach the state finals healthy, but rusty. Chaminade has the benefit of having CCC in the state semi finals. CCC is another small school powerhouse and regular fixture in national small private school football polls since 2012. Chaminade has defeated CCC two years in a row, but the Marauders have closed the gap from 2017 to 2018. Chaminade will likely beat them again in 2019 but it won't be easy, thus as long as Chaminade is healthy they'll likely have the edge in the state finals over JaxTCA until JaxTCA "wakes up" from 4 weeks against much lesser competition. --> Berkeley Prep is a dark horse in the south. Lakeland Christian and Ocala Trinity Catholic are looking good in the north. I expect all three teams to have good seasons in 2019. Trinity Catholic should be a joy to watch as they are rebuilding their program toward competing with JaxTCA/FSU School and others in the north. Berkeley Prep has a strong roster in 2019 that features talented linemen and a talented offense that should score points in 2019. Lakeland Christian looks to be a force in region 2, but Holy Trinity and MCC are also hanging around. --> I think 3A will be well represented in state and national polls. JaxTCA and Chaminade-Madonna should both be in the 20 in Florida and CCC will be around 40 with. All three schools should easily make the top 25 national rankings for small schools. --> The defending state finalist King's Academy will still be a threat, but due to a large graduating class it's hard seeing them continue to have success now that they are in the south of 3A. In addition, they're joined by Calvary Christian (Ft. Lauderdale) and rival Benjamin School who are both looking potent as well.
  13. The 16 Best FL HS QB's of the Past 50 Years

    Kenny Kelly! His son is the current QB at Tampa Jesuit.
  14. Hillsborough County trivia

    This is the one I'm 100% positive I know the answer to, but out of respect. I won't spoil it. A hint would be it also starts with a C.
  15. Chaminade-Madonna will win this game. The only individuals who don't know that Vero is the underdog here is Vero. It'll be good, but Chaminade-Madonna isn't Viera. Coach Jones, Coach Tate and staff will have the Lions ready for this one.
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