OldSchoolLion

For Brevard, John Wilkinson left Cocoa to coach his son who will be playing at New Smyrna. Can't blame him really when his wife teaches at NSBHS and his son plays football there. He was driving 45 or so miles to coach at Cocoa. 

Hillsborough County Coaches
30%(9/30) of the coaches below are new.
53%(16/30) have been at their present school 1 year or less.
30%(9/30) have been at their present school 5 years or more.
Relative to other other populous counties, Hillsborough County has a good number of seasoned/tenured coaches.  However, with 53% of coaches at their school 1 year or less, it reflects a substantial amount of "churn." 
Note the coaching continuity at most of the schools that have been winning the most of late.  
 
*3 winning seasons in a row
9 of Hillsborough County's 30 major football programs have new head coaches this season.
Alonso-Ron Perisee     10-19 3-season record
Brandon-Antonio Brown     16-17 3-season record
Freedom-Henry Scurry     9-20 3-season record
Jefferson-Joe Midulla     20-14 3-season record
King-???     5-27 3-season record
Newsome-CJ Yockey     15-15 3-season record
Robinson-Craig Everhart     11-16 3-season record
Spoto-Melvin Jenkins     8-21 3-season record
*Tampa Catholic-Jeris McIntyre     23-11 3-season record
 
Returning Coaches
*Armwood-Evan Davis 1 season     38-4 3-season record
*Berkeley Prep-Dominic Ciao 11 seasons     20-11 3-season record
Blake-Duane Thomas 1 season     13-17 3-season record
Bloomingdale-Max Warner 2 seasons     14-17 3-season record
Chamberlain-Jason Lane 2 seasons     16-15 3-season record
*Durant-Mike Gottman 15 seasons     21-11 3-season record
*East Bay-Frank Larosa-7 seasons     17-12 3-season record
Gaither-Kirk Karsen 1 season     16-15 3-season record
*Jesuit-Matt Thompson 5 seasons     31-7 3-season record
Hillsborough-Earl Garcia 25 seasons     20-12 3-season record
Lennard-Matt Kitchie 1season     9-22 3-season record
Leto-Joey Jaime 1 season     1-29 3-season record
Middleton-Fred Reid 3 seasons     13-18 3-season record
*Plant-Robert Weiner 14 seasons     34-7 3-season record
Plant City-James Booth 1 season     21-11 3-season record
Riverview-William Mosel 1 season     11-19 3-season record
Sickles-Patrick Murphy-2 seasons     13-18 3-season record
Steinbrenner- Andres Perez-Reinaldo 6 seasons     16-13 3-season record
Strawberry Crest-Ron Hawn 2 seasons     2-28 3-season record
*Tampa Bay Tech-Jayson Roberts 7 seasons     27-9 3-season record
Wharton-David Mitchell 13 seasons     14-15 3-season record
 

Big time FM guy.  We are just behind Columbia and Manatee in total wins in FL.  I think we will add at least 10 this year.  We got thinned out a few years ago with the opening of Dunbar and South.  Will try to keep u informed on SWF football.  Make that 4.  Lakeland is ahead of us too
 

Bartram Trail opened in 2000 not 2010. 

Dan Burke does a great job at Palm Bay.   
 
 

Below are 100 schools that opened since 1992 in the most populous areas of Florida.  Only 23 of those schools made the playoffs last year, and only 11 of them won a playoff game.  Amongst those who didn't, relatively few have had significant success in football since the school opened, and for those that did, the success was often short-lived.  Hillsborough County is the poster child for this phenomenon.
The 100 schools below have won a total of 203 playoff games between them.  20 of those 200 victories were by Bartram Trail.  Listed after each team is the number of playoff (p/o) wins by each school since they opened.  43 of the schools have never won a playoff game.  
Teams in bold below made the playoffs last season.  38% of teams in Classes 1A-8A presently make the playoffs each year.  So, the number of teams below that made the playoffs last season is disproportionately low.  
The amount of big, new schools is unprecedented in Florida's history.  Existing schools are becoming mega-schools, like Lehigh High below, potentially moving them up in class to an even more competitive environment. 
https://www.news-press.com/story/news/education/2018/07/06/lehigh-senior-high-growing-into-mega-school-rapid-growth/760552002/
The upper classes have become loaded with "newer" schools.  In a sense, they have been thrown into the fire before their programs have a chance to get traction.  And even after 20 years, some are still struggling.  With the current environment of talent concentrating at less and less schools, one has to wonder if these programs will ever get traction. 
The number of schools in Florida will no doubt increase in the future.  At this rate, will our upper classes become even more flooded with mediocre teams unless we develop a strategy beyond classifying by population?   
Totals below by class:
8A-26 teams
7A-35 teams
6A-18 teams
5A-14 teams
4A-3 teams
3A-1 team
2A-1 team
1A-1 team
Independent-1 teams
 
Brevard County
Bayside(6A) 1998     4 p/o wins
Heritage(6A) 2009     5 p/o wins
Space Coast(5A) 2001     0 p/o wins
Viera(7A) 2006     7 p/o wins
 
Broward County
Coral Glades(Ind) 2004     0 p/o wins
Coral Springs Charter(4A) 1999      0 p/o wins
Cypress Bay(8A) 2002     10 p/o wins
Everglades(8A) 2003     2 p/o wins
Flanagan(8A) 1996      9 p/o wins
Monarch(8A) 2003     0 p/o wins
West Broward(7A) 2008     1 p/o wins
 
Clay County
Fleming Island(7A) 2003     9 p/o wins
Oakleaf(7A) 2010     2 p/o wins
Ridgeview(5A) 1998     2 p/o wins
 
Collier County
Golden Gate(6A) 2004     0 p/o wins
Gulf Coast(7A) 1998     0 p/o wins
Palmetto Ridge(6A) 2005     0 p/o wins
 
Duval County
Atlantic Coast(7A) 2010     0 p/o wins
 
Escambia
Northview(1A) 1996     9 p/o wins
West Florida(5A) 2001     6 p/o wins
 
Flagler County
Matanzas(6A) 2005     0 p/o wins
 
Hernando County
Nature Coast(5A) 2003     3 p/o wins
Weeki Wachee(5A) 2010     0 p/o wins
 
Hillsborough
Alonso(8A) 2001     1 p/o wins
Blake(6A) 1997     3 p/o wins
Durant(7A) 1995     5 p/o wins
Freedom(7A) 2002     0 p/o wins
Lennard(7A) 2006     2 p/o wins
Middleton 2002(5A) (reopened)     2 p/o wins
Newsome(8A) 2003     3 p/o wins
Riverview(8A) 1998     2 p/o wins
Sickles(7A) 1997     3 p/o wins
Spoto(5A) 2006     1 p/o win
Steinbrenner(8A) 2009     0 p/o wins
Strawberry Crest(7A) 2009     0 p/o wins
Wharton(7A) 1997      6 p/o wins
 
Indian River County
Sebastian River(6A) 1994     1 p/o win
 
Lake County
East Ridge(7A) 2002     6 p/o wins
Lake Minneola(7A) 2011     0 p/o wins
South Lake(6A) 1993     1 p/o win
 
Lee County
East Lee County(6A) 2007     0 p/o wins
Ida S Baker(6A) 2004     0 p/o wins
Island Coast(6A) 2007     4 p/o wins
Lehigh(6A) 1994     2 p/o wins
 
Leon County
Chiles(7A) 1999     0 p/o wins
St John Paul II(2A) 2001     0 p/o wins
 
Manatee
Braden River(7A) 2005     8 p/o wins
Lakewood Ranch(7A) 1998     2 p/o wins
 
Marion County
Belleview(5A) 1995     7 p/o wins
Westport(7A) 2000     1 p/0 win
 
Martin County
Jensen Beach(6A) 2004     0 p/o wins
 
Miami-Dade County
Dr Krop(8A) 1998     4 p/o wins
Ferguson(8A) 2003     0 p/o wins
Goleman(7A) 1995     1 p/o win
Hialeah Gardens(8A) 2009     0 p/o wins
Reagan(7A) 2006     0 p/o wins
Varela(8A) 2000     0 p/o wins
Westland(7A) 2007     0 p/o wins
 
Nassau County
Yulee(5A) 2006 (reopened)     3 p/o wins
 
Orange County
Cypress Creek(8A) 1992     0 p/o wins
East River(7A) 2009     0 p/o wins
Freedom(8A) 2003     0 p/o wins
Lake Nona(7A) 2009     0 p/o wins
Ocoee(7A) 2005     0 p/o wins
Olympia(8A) 2001     1 p/o win
Timber Creek(8A) 2001     4 p/o wins
Wekiva(8A) 2007     3 p/o wins
Windermere(7A) 2017     0 p/o wins
 
Osceola County
Celebration(7A) 2003     0 p/o wins
Harmony(7A) 2004     2 p/o wins
Liberty(7A) 2007     0 p/o wins
 
Palm Beach County
Boynton Beach(6A) 2001     0 p/o wins 
Palm Beach Central(8A) 2003     2 p/o wins 
Park Vista(8A) 2004     3 p/o wins
Royal Palm Beach(7A) 1997     5 p/o wins
West Boca(7A) 2004     2 p/o wins
 
Pasco County
Anclote(5A) 2009     0 p/o wins
Fivay(5A) 2010     0 p/o wins
Mitchell(6A) 2000     2 p/o wins
Sunlake(6A) 2007     2 p/o wins
Wesley Chapel(5A) 1999     0 p/o wins
Wiregrass Ranch(7A) 2006     1 p/o wins
 
Pinellas
Calvary Christian(3A) 2000     1 p/o wins
Palm Harbor(8A) 1996     1 p/o win
 
Polk County
George Jenkins(8A) 1993     0 p/o wins
Lake Region(6A) 1995     0 p/o wins
Ridge(8A) 2005     2 p/o wins
Tenoroc(4A) 2008     0 p/o wins
 
St Johns
Bartram Trail(7A) 2000     20 p/o wins
Creekside(7A) 2008     1 p/o win
Menendez(5A) 2000     1 p/o wins
Ponte Vedra(5A) 2008     5 p/o wins
 
St Lucie County
Centennial(8A) 1998     2 p/o wins
Treasure Coast(8A) 2006     1 p/o wins
 
Sarasota
North Port(7A) 2001     0 p/o wins
 
Seminole County
Hagerty(7A) 2005     0 p/o wins
Winter Springs(8A) 1997     1 p/o win
 
Volusia
Atlantic(4A) 1994     1 p/o win
Pine Ridge(6A) 1994     0 p/o wins
University(8A) 2010     0 p/o wins
 

I can only think of one game in which a titan from FL met one of the top 10 teams in Texas(based on end-of-season results) from a certain year..the Northwestern vs Southlake Carrroll game in 2007.  Maybe I am forgetting some.  
IMO a game like that would have as much intrigue as any OOS game one could schedule...ie vs Lake Travis, Allen, Katy, etc.  
 

As I implied earlier, compiling the data was not meant to be an exercise in perfection with strict criteria, and I didn't advertise it as some masterpiece to prove a point.   Sometimes I do things for myself and think "Gee, maybe some others might like to see this."  It's a random set of data.  Take it for what it is.  I don't see too many others idiots like myself posting things for others to enjoy at midnight.  
All of the FL teams listed above were legitimate state title contenders in the years they were listed, so to consider them "inferior" does not speak well for Florida football.  Concerning Tucker and Stephenson, they are rock solid programs, but not what most GA folks would consider the most worthy of GA teams to deserve a national ranking.     
 I used "loose" criteria to define "top-ranked" OOS competitiors.  Did not include teams that ended the year ranked outside the top 200 on Maxpreps.  Is there better criteria?  I'm sure.  Did I care for the purposes of what I was doing and was I willing to dedicate any more time to the exercise than I already did?  No.  If anyone out there got something out of the data, I am glad I shared it.  
     

What do we gain from playing Fort White 
 
If they somehow win we look weak but if we win it's expected 
 
We have nothing to gain but everything to lose by playing 

It would be real nice in fact if we get em on and beat GC then we can say that we beat all three of the only teams to beat both STA and Armwood in playoff games

Bullcrap
 
It doesn't matter because the game wasn't dropped after 2009 or 2010 game
 
It was dropped after 2014 game
 
 

As far as why the district is so weak, there are different reasons for different teams. For instance:
-Westland is just in an area devoid of talent and the school doesn't really care to have a good football team. God bless their coach, but he's got nothing there
-Miami Springs consistently has a top 3 team in the district as far as talent, but their coaching isn't strong; and I think they were poached pretty heavy this offseason by other schools for their players
- Mater and Doral pretty much depend on recruiting and when that doesn't work, you're going to see how they can't do anything (like I think they'll be this year)
-Mourning has talent, but again not great coaching and their numbers I hear are down
-Reagan is always gonna be a tough, ground and pound team. Never special, but always well coached. Can't do enough to win the district usually.
-Goleman has been the same, but they will open it up more this season. Talent is there, if they can put it all together it can be a special season
-South Miami had a nice season last year, this year they have some big time recruits. But their QB from last year is gone. He made them tick. If they don't have a capable replacement they won't do much. If they do find one, they could contend for the district.
-Sunset was fairly talented, I hear they lost a lot to graduation. Coaching isn't great to me. Every so often they have a really nice year. I don't see this year being that year though.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.tcpalm.com/amp/963631002
Some interesting stuff to look at concerning Vero schedule and one thing to note is that they are on a 43 regular season game winning streak and only 3 teams have had winning seasons last year 

8A-4
Apopka
Wekiva
West Orange
Evans

I’m listing around three teams per region with an occasional fourth in loaded areas. I am leaving some good teams off on purpose because it’s a season-end list. All lists are in order. First listed is my favorite. 
-
8A-1: Wekiva, Apopka, Seminole, Winter Park
8A-2: Dr. Phillips, Osceola, Vero Beach, Sarasota Riverview
8A-3: Palm Beach Central, Deerfield Beach, Atlantic
8A-4: Columbus, Southridge, South Dade
-
7A-1: Lake City Columbia, Edgewater, Lee
7A-2: Lakeland, Plant
7A-3: Venice
7A-4: Aquinas, Dwyer
-
6A-1: Niceville, St. Augustine, Crestview
6A-2: Armwood
6A-3: Largo, Naples 
6A-4: Carol City, Central, Northwestern, Mainland
 

This is the rankings badbird referring to 
 
8th- 1A (3.5 reps per week average)
7th-  2A (3.875 reps per week average)
6th- 4A  (6.125 reps per week average)
5th-  3A (6.375 reps per week average)
4th- 5A  (16.25 reps per week average)
3rd- 7A  (17.625 reps per week average)
2nd- 6A  (19.25 reps per week average)
1st-  8A  (26.625 reps per week average)
 
 
 
I took a average based on how many per week were ranked in my top 100 during last season 

Welp. Here we are. First time in over a decade that I won't be in a press box on Friday night.
In the coming weeks, I hope to satisfy my "Friday Night fix" by taking a tour of the state. While my focus will be on South Florida, I plan on venturing out of the 561 to take in the best matchup of the week. I will be joined by my trusty sidekick, my nine-year-old son. Pictures. Videos. In-game updates. Restaurant and concession stand reviews. We'll have it all, so buckle up!
Not sure there is any reason to leave Palm Beach County this week. Heck of a slate in the 561. I will be in Delray on Thursday night for Miami Central-Atlantic, and on Friday, I plan to walk across the street for the battle of PBC. Let me know if you will be at either of the two. Would love to grab a burger and talk some ball. 
XDC

Southern and central Georgia, especially the Valdosta and Warner Robins areas, really ruled until the mid-90's.  Then Parview and Brookwood started making noise in Atlanta.  Parkview won 3 titles in a row around 2000, which you just didn't see happening prior in years past.  
The suburbs north and east of the city exploded and about 10 years ago a lot of the teams we hear about in Georgia today, ie Grayson, started coming on the scene.  South Florida always had great football.  Atlanta didn't, but what has happened there in the past 10 years is extraordinary.  They don't have to worry about losing much talent to private schools.  And unlike south FL, which is locked in by the Everglades, Atlanta can just keep growing since there is lots of open land to the north and east.  
In a way, the scenario is much like the shift of power in the 90's from north FL southward, except in GA it has been from south to north.     

Here is how I rank District Strength from top to bottom:
Rk   CL * D 1 ) 6A * 16 2 ) 8A * 4 3 ) 5A * 2 4 ) 6A * 3 5 ) 6A * 1 6 ) 7A * 7 7 ) 5A * 14 8 ) 8A * 16 9 ) 8A * 1 10 ) 7A * 2 11 ) 8A * 14 12 ) 7A * 3 13 ) 5A * 4 14 ) 6A * 2 15 ) 7A * 11 16 ) 5A * 16 17 ) 8A * 3 18 ) 7A * 1 19 ) 8A * 2 20 ) 7A * 10 21 ) 8A * 9 22 ) 7A * 14 23 ) 7A * 9 24 ) 8A * 12 25 ) 6A * 12 26 ) 7A * 12 27 ) 6A * 7 28 ) 5A * 5 29 ) 6A * 4 30 ) 6A * 8 31 ) 8A * 8 32 ) 6A * 15 33 ) 7A * 6 34 ) 5A * 10 35 ) 8A * 5 36 ) 6A * 10 37 ) 5A * 1 38 ) 8A * 7 39 ) 7A * 8 40 ) 6A * 13 41 ) 5A * 6 42 ) 6A * 5 43 ) 5A * 13 44 ) 7A * 4 45 ) 8A * 13 46 ) 7A * 13 47 ) 6A * 11 48 ) 7A * 15 49 ) 5A * 12 50 ) 6A * 6 51 ) 5A * 3 52 ) 6A * 14 53 ) 8A * 6 54 ) 5A * 11 55 ) 8A * 11 56 ) 6A * 9 57 ) 7A * 5 58 ) 5A * 9 59 ) 5A * 15 60 ) 8A * 10 61 ) 5A * 8 62 ) 7A * 16 63 ) 5A * 7 64 ) 8A * 15

The FHSAA has no interest because they get a percentage or flat rate for every playoff game. 
So if they cut 2 classes like they should that would cut 30-60 games a year which is big money. They don't care that the playoffs are watered down and 75 percent of the games are blowouts. 
Not that it would happen but how cool would it have been to watch the winner of Jax UC/Madison County play the winner of Champagant/Pahokee? 
I know they changed a little but Jax TC vs Raines for the right to play the winner of Cocoa and Chaminade. 
These are just examples for the sake of argument. 

Louisville shouldn't be a pushover. 3A Kemper County came over and beat 5A West Florida. 
Louisville in one local poll was preseason number 10 in all of Mississippi. So they must have the goods 

It was 51-36 Byrnes over Apopka.  I corrected above.
     

As I implied earlier, compiling the data was not meant to be an exercise in perfection with strict criteria, and I didn't advertise it as some masterpiece to prove a point.   Sometimes I do things for myself and think "Gee, maybe some others might like to see this."  It's a random set of data.  Take it for what it is.  I don't see too many others idiots like myself posting things for others to enjoy at midnight.  
All of the FL teams listed above were legitimate state title contenders in the years they were listed, so to consider them "inferior" does not speak well for Florida football.  Concerning Tucker and Stephenson, they are rock solid programs, but not what most GA folks would consider the most worthy of GA teams to deserve a national ranking.     
 I used "loose" criteria to define "top-ranked" OOS competitiors.  Did not include teams that ended the year ranked outside the top 200 on Maxpreps.  Is there better criteria?  I'm sure.  Did I care for the purposes of what I was doing and was I willing to dedicate any more time to the exercise than I already did?  No.  If anyone out there got something out of the data, I am glad I shared it.  
     

The area has talent
 
They just end up with 90% of the top talent at a few schools
 
You speak before about metro consolidated talent to a few schools
 
Duval is the perfect place to point to when showing that 

I think the final was 51-36 or something like that. It was a one score game, Apopka was driving, then they lost their QB to a hit that damaged his future career. Byrnes scored another touchdown after that, to increase the lead to two scores.