Pipe Dreams

PLANT... called it when they were 0-6.
WP should be weighted 50% instead of 35%.
 
OOWP should be weighted lower. All hover near .500.

PLANT... called it when they were 0-6.
WP should be weighted 50% instead of 35%.
 
OOWP should be weighted lower. All hover near .500.

PLANT... called it when they were 0-6.
WP should be weighted 50% instead of 35%.
 
OOWP should be weighted lower. All hover near .500.

Fun story.
DP was unranked in 2016 and 2017, made the title both years (won it in 2017).
DP was unranked last year, made elite 8 in a down year.
Looks like DP is right on track in 2019! 
You all miss a key factor: DP schedules the top teams every year and improves greatly as the season progresses. This is not the same team that lost to Seminole week 1.

Just by your definitions this list is wrong.
”Average 36-60”
The top 36-60 teams in FL are probably in the top 5% nationally. Someone do the math. I don’t know how many teams there are nationally.
Generally the #50 team in FL is somewhere around 400-500 nationally. With 20,000 teams in the US that’d be top 2% to top 2.5%.
This name/ranking convention would work for a smaller state like Maryland or Alabama.
On a national scale the top 25 in Florida would all be “great”. Most would win state titles in 20 or more states. I’d then say the top 4-6 depending on the year are elite and the top 7-15 are just a notch below.

I actually liked it when we had champ, runner up and wildcards.  Cut to 12 districts instead of 16 and that increases the teams in each district and allows 2 extra in each region to make it in case you are in a district of death.  Then you can seed by some point system.  We are using some bull shit formula to see who gets in. We might as well just roll a dice or flip a coin.

DP is a different football team since being down 21-0 at the half against Apopka, losing 21-13 and having two potential TD's called back.
They manhandled Wekiva and it could have been much worse.  Completely different team out there. 
Will they crack Columbia's top 80? Word on Troll Street is no

How the hell is a shooting at a HS game not national news. 
This can't even become close to normalized. I'm not an anti-gun guy (don't read between any lines) but THAT IS RIDICULOUS. 
Who cares who won. 

How the hell is a shooting at a HS game not national news. 
This can't even become close to normalized. I'm not an anti-gun guy (don't read between any lines) but THAT IS RIDICULOUS. 
Who cares who won. 

What's scary is on paper this DP offense is as loaded they've been since 2010. I said I wasn't going to get into it... let's just say I'm a confused man at the moment. I can't scale the damn thing like I used to.... Lakeland and Edgewater look light years ahead of two major 8A contenders, and there has ALWAYS been parity at that level especially in C-Fla. 
The times are changing. This year may seriously rebalance some of the high parity we've seen in years past in C-Fla....It's sImilar to the early 2000's when (guess who) Edgewater and Lakeland were a notch above the rest (in addition to Armwood and the occasional outlier team like 02 Apopka). 
Rant over... not even gonna proof read it.... DP @ Seminole will be VERY telling especially when comparing the best of 8A vs the best of 7A. I have Seminole 35-20 because I can't pick DP in every game for eternity and need to keep my board drip level on at least 90. 
McClain could have himself a day

Rank, team, class-region, hypothetical spread
Edgewater — (7A-R1)  Cocoa — (4A-R2) +3 Jones — (5A-R2) +3 Seminole — (8A R1) +6 Winter Park — (8A-R1) +8 Rockledge — (5A-R3) +16 Osceola — (8A-R2) +16 Bishop Moore — (5A-R2) +16 Dr. Phillips — (8A-R2) +17 Mainland — (6A-R1) +17 Lake Mary — (8A-R1) +17 West Orange — (8A-R1) +20 Apopka — (8A-R1) +20 Viera — (7A-R2) +21 Wekiva — (7A-R1) +21 Oviedo — (8A-R1) +24 Spruce Creek — (8A-R1) +27 Ocoee — (8A-R1) +27 Olympia — (8A-R2) +28  
Ranking includes Orange (9 teams), Seminole (3), Brevard (3), Volusia (2), Osceola (1), Sumter (0) & Lake (0) counties.
 
`
`
 
The following games between the ranked teams (29 total) represent an average of 1.61 ranked regular season opponents per ranked team. There are also national opponents that have not been incoporated into this stat.
Weeks 1, 5, 7 and 11 are the best weeks of the season prior to the playoffs.
 
Week 1
DP @ Seminole - Pick: Seminole wins 35-20
Edgewater @ #Bishop Moore - Pick: Edgewater wins 35-17
#Olympia @ West Orange - Pick: West Orange wins 39-24
#Viera @ Cocoa - Pick: Cocoa wins 36-14
Winter Park @ Wekiva - Pick: Winter Park wins 24-13
 
Week 2
Seminole @ Lake Mary
West Orange @ Wekiva
 
Week 3
Jones @ Edgewater
Osceola @ Cocoa
West Orange @ DP
Olympia @ Wekiva
 
Week 4
Bishop Moore @ Jones
 
Week 5
#3 Seminole @ Mainland
#6 Rockledge @ Viera
Winter Park @ Edgewater
Apopka @ DP
 
Week 6
Lake Mary @ West Orange 
 
Week 7
 Mainland @ Cocoa
Apopka @ Jones
DP @ #Wekiva
Lake Mary @ Oviedo
 
Week 8
Winter Park @ Oviedo
Olympia @ DP
West Orange @ Apopka
 
Week 10
Lake Mary @ Apopka
 
Week 11
Cocoa @ Rockledge
West Orange @ Jones
Wekiva @ Apopka
Oviedo @ Spruce Creek

Rank, team, class-region, hypothetical spread
Edgewater — (7A-R1)  Cocoa — (4A-R2) +3 Jones — (5A-R2) +3 Seminole — (8A R1) +6 Winter Park — (8A-R1) +8 Rockledge — (5A-R3) +16 Osceola — (8A-R2) +16 Bishop Moore — (5A-R2) +16 Dr. Phillips — (8A-R2) +17 Mainland — (6A-R1) +17 Lake Mary — (8A-R1) +17 West Orange — (8A-R1) +20 Apopka — (8A-R1) +20 Viera — (7A-R2) +21 Wekiva — (7A-R1) +21 Oviedo — (8A-R1) +24 Spruce Creek — (8A-R1) +27 Ocoee — (8A-R1) +27 Olympia — (8A-R2) +28  
Ranking includes Orange (9 teams), Seminole (3), Brevard (3), Volusia (2), Osceola (1), Sumter (0) & Lake (0) counties.
 
`
`
 
The following games between the ranked teams (29 total) represent an average of 1.61 ranked regular season opponents per ranked team. There are also national opponents that have not been incoporated into this stat.
Weeks 1, 5, 7 and 11 are the best weeks of the season prior to the playoffs.
 
Week 1
DP @ Seminole - Pick: Seminole wins 35-20
Edgewater @ #Bishop Moore - Pick: Edgewater wins 35-17
#Olympia @ West Orange - Pick: West Orange wins 39-24
#Viera @ Cocoa - Pick: Cocoa wins 36-14
Winter Park @ Wekiva - Pick: Winter Park wins 24-13
 
Week 2
Seminole @ Lake Mary
West Orange @ Wekiva
 
Week 3
Jones @ Edgewater
Osceola @ Cocoa
West Orange @ DP
Olympia @ Wekiva
 
Week 4
Bishop Moore @ Jones
 
Week 5
#3 Seminole @ Mainland
#6 Rockledge @ Viera
Winter Park @ Edgewater
Apopka @ DP
 
Week 6
Lake Mary @ West Orange 
 
Week 7
 Mainland @ Cocoa
Apopka @ Jones
DP @ #Wekiva
Lake Mary @ Oviedo
 
Week 8
Winter Park @ Oviedo
Olympia @ DP
West Orange @ Apopka
 
Week 10
Lake Mary @ Apopka
 
Week 11
Cocoa @ Rockledge
West Orange @ Jones
Wekiva @ Apopka
Oviedo @ Spruce Creek

columbiafan — great guy, avid fan, loose cannon, very high energy
the board would benefit greatly with his return

Games between ranked teams added to original post (edit).

Cocoa bumped due to transfers and overall depth. Top 4 are very close IMO.

columbiafan — great guy, avid fan, loose cannon, very high energy
the board would benefit greatly with his return

Cocoa bumped to #1.
West Orange could rise. They have some big early season games.

I see Osceola and West Orange as the two teams that could rise the most.
West Orange in particular has a ton of skill position talent.

awwwwww DP (hope you’ve heard it in person)
7-6 ***
13-2 ***** !
12-3 *****
9-4 ***
12-1 ***
11-1 **
13-1 ****
10-2 **
14-1 *****
11-1 **
10-2 **
7-5 **
9-3 **
 
excellence
13 consecutive years with a playoff win
off the top of the head. ha

Crazy stat - Dr. Phillips & Apopka have represented “the north” 6 out of the past 9 years in the large class state championship game (67%).
Only other teams:
2018: Mandarin 
2015: Osceola
2011: Plant
 

Without looking I'd have to assume Bolles with all of the small schools they've faced.

Too many people on the AP voting committee don’t put any effort into it.
Their preseason rankings are basically the previous season results plus teams with obviously loaded senior classes (see Wekiva last season).
The week 11 poll is basically a standings list. That’s the more interesting poll to extrapolate forward to playoff performance. I believe DP was unranked week 11 in 2016 and 2017 (8-2 both years, loaded schedule), and both years they made the title game (won in 17).

Too many people on the AP voting committee don’t put any effort into it.
Their preseason rankings are basically the previous season results plus teams with obviously loaded senior classes (see Wekiva last season).
The week 11 poll is basically a standings list. That’s the more interesting poll to extrapolate forward to playoff performance. I believe DP was unranked week 11 in 2016 and 2017 (8-2 both years, loaded schedule), and both years they made the title game (won in 17).

pipe dreams, taking input from the board... a pillar of the community

Ranking and schedules adjusted to include Cocoa, Rockledge, Viera. Could see 1-3 more Brevard teams move in.
 
Example spreads from #1 added to show parity.