Pipe Dreams

Dr. Phillips has five final four appearances, two state runner ups and one state title over the last 15 years.
 
During that time they’ve also made the regional championship game 8 times out of 15.
 
2024 - Final Four
2018 - Elite 8
2017 - State Champion
2016 - State Runner Up
2015 - Elite 8
2014 - Elite 8
2012 - Final Four
2010 - State Runner Up
 

Lake Mary has a complete team, offense and defense, led by their stellar junior quarterback.
It has been great to see the Lake Mary - Dr. Phillips rivalry take form over the past few years. In Florida's Pop Warner glory days, these two programs were major rivals and always competed for Mid Florida titles and then at the state level. That great rivalry has made it to the HS level two decades later.

Congrats to the Lake Mary program on their first state title appearance.
Lake Mary went up 10-0, but DP came back to take a 13-10 lead into the fourth quarter.
A DP drive stalled near midfield and Lake Mary scored twice from there for the 24-13 victory.
Congrats to DP on a great comeback season. I'm not sure anyone had them going this far when the season started. The QB - Anderson-Lofton, committed to Middle Tennessee and is very underrated. He has a very bright future. Also, congrats to coach Wells on his fourth final four appearance in 14 years as head coach. 

Color coded by classification.

Madison County - In a close game.
CCC - Could go either way. CN is a good team
Gadsden - It will be a long trip for Booker T. I'll take Gadsden because of homefield advantage.
MNW - Only the FHSAA can stop the Bulls
Jones - Tough game to pick. I'll go with homefield advantage. There's a reason Jones is undefeated.
STA - Could go either way based on how STA has been playing. I'll take strength of schedule
West Boca - WB is the best team in PBC. Southridge's quest for a title ends in Boca Raton
Osceola - In a nail biter. Buchholz is a very good team, but I think physicality and line play gets the Kowboys the win.
Venice - Venice's first real test in the playoffs. I believe Columbus hangs tough but comes up just short.
Lake Mary - Lake Mary gets revenge. It won't be close.  
The only easy picks this week are the Lake Mary Dr. Phillips game and the Miami Northwestern game vs Eau Galle. All of the others were pretty tough to very tough to pick. Now DP may just win and I'll have egg in my face. But I doubt it. Lake Mary is on a mission and should do to them what Apopka did to Edgewater back in the 2001 regional finals after the Eagles had given the Darters its only regular season loss.

Color coded by classification.

Color coded by classification.

Color coded by classification.

Color coded by classification.

What do the colors in the map mean?
I'm about to make a new map

I've always followed the Laz Index: https://www.lazindex.com/fhsaa.php
For some of the newer posters, it's usually very good as the regular season comes to an end. I believe Laz uses the spreads of all the games, and then runs some sort of Monte Carlo simulation to give each team a power rating.

Regions 1 and 3 are likely to be Orlando.
At least 3 Orlando-area teams can compete with Venice. 
 
I never count out Columbus or Palmetto.

Regions 1 and 3 are likely to be Orlando.
At least 3 Orlando-area teams can compete with Venice. 
 
I never count out Columbus or Palmetto.

I know there is a ton of parity in south Florida, and I have been guilty of overestimating Central Florida in the past, but I really think we have some good contenders. Across classes, I think Central Florida (Orlando-Metro plus Brevard/Volusia) could do better than ever this year in terms of total area state titles.
         
They are also all very close in talent level, and below them there is a gap.
      Cocoa --- 2A
Jones (Orlando) --- 4A
Dr. Phillips (Orlando) --- 7A
Sanford-Seminole --- 7A
The First Academy (Orlando) --- 1A
Lake Mary --- 7A
Edgewater (Orlando) --- 5A
Osceola (Kissimmee) --- 6A
West Orange --- 7A
 
Eau Gallie, Spruce Creek, and Apopka are also very competitive.
There are some interesting early data points, including Osceola and Lake Mary. Both competed well out-of-area.

I know there is a ton of parity in south Florida, and I have been guilty of overestimating Central Florida in the past, but I really think we have some good contenders. Across classes, I think Central Florida (Orlando-Metro plus Brevard/Volusia) could do better than ever this year in terms of total area state titles.
         
They are also all very close in talent level, and below them there is a gap.
      Cocoa --- 2A
Jones (Orlando) --- 4A
Dr. Phillips (Orlando) --- 7A
Sanford-Seminole --- 7A
The First Academy (Orlando) --- 1A
Lake Mary --- 7A
Edgewater (Orlando) --- 5A
Osceola (Kissimmee) --- 6A
West Orange --- 7A
 
Eau Gallie, Spruce Creek, and Apopka are also very competitive.
There are some interesting early data points, including Osceola and Lake Mary. Both competed well out-of-area.

I've always followed the Laz Index: https://www.lazindex.com/fhsaa.php
For some of the newer posters, it's usually very good as the regular season comes to an end. I believe Laz uses the spreads of all the games, and then runs some sort of Monte Carlo simulation to give each team a power rating.

I've always followed the Laz Index: https://www.lazindex.com/fhsaa.php
For some of the newer posters, it's usually very good as the regular season comes to an end. I believe Laz uses the spreads of all the games, and then runs some sort of Monte Carlo simulation to give each team a power rating.

DP has been under the radar as they may not be an offensive juggernaut but they have an excellent defense. 

Nolebull really likes to put down high school teams. He's done it for years... calling them garbage, etc... His lack of respect and sportsmanship is a given. I really hope he's in his 20's.
I do agree that the classifications have been watered down and think the Metro/Suburban decision was a bad one.
This is not the best DP team, but they played both Apopka (16-14) and Lake Mary (76-60) close, and avenged their earlier loss to Olympia in round 1. The Jones game got out of hand, as it was 14-10 at the half. 
Region 2 will probably be a 10-14 point underdog to whatever region 1 team they play.

This guy has gone too long without somebody pushing back on his paragraphs of delusion.
Darter Blue, yes, I agree that if you take away all of DP's best plays of the game then Apopka won handily. 

This guy has gone too long without somebody pushing back on his paragraphs of delusion.
Darter Blue, yes, I agree that if you take away all of DP's best plays of the game then Apopka won handily. 

Madco about to reboot in 2021 and never lose again to little 1A teams. 

There has been zero disrespect of Osceola from the media or this board. World's smallest violin. Welcome to the board. 

There has been zero disrespect of Osceola from the media or this board. World's smallest violin. Welcome to the board. 

There has been zero disrespect of Osceola from the media or this board. World's smallest violin. Welcome to the board.